Spread: United States (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab186f403a2260444ccc536fce775670e1a851d8ceff6b7fff3f5f3d240ba412

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: United Statesof United States, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,693,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,044,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,693,633 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,653 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbf32…3b90backed United States	48c	768,890$369,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399,822.56	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed United States	48c	668,918$322,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346,762.4	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	56c	500,000$280,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279,999.99	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	496,870$257,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257,034.52	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	50c	340,335$171,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171,281.1	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	226,558$117,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117,833.34	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked United States	44c	225,885$100,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125,524.57	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed United States	50c	218,407$109,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109,203.66	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	200,000$104,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103,999.97	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed United States	45c	184,665$83,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100,724.26	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	51c	159,999$81,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,599.63	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	159,350$82,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82,268.48	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed United States	49c	136,100$66,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70,061.17	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked United States	45c	129,363$58,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,149.86	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	121,257$62,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,535.93	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed United States	48c	119,193$57,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61,980.31	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	51c	98,039$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	51c	94,151$48,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,253.74	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15c8…d2d0backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	90,000$46,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,800	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked United States	49c	80,000$39,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,799.97	135	43%58 W · 77 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked United States	53c	78,129$41,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,990.62	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…a84bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	55c	77,465$42,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,605.66	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	53c	75,358$39,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,953.32	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed United States	45c	65,593$29,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,946.02	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	41c	57,629$23,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,627.91	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked United States	45c	54,610$24,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,280.15	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	50,000$26,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,000	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked United States	48c	50,000$24,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,999.97	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	54c	49,395$26,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,691.1	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed United States	48c	40,000$19,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,800	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	51c	40,000$20,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,399.95	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed United States	45c	38,636$17,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,136	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed United States	52c	35,368$18,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,988.16	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed United States	48c	33,333$16,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,333.16	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed United States	44c	31,500$13,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,640	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	30,200$15,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,704	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed United States	48c	30,000$14,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,500	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	30,000$15,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,600	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed United States	49c	29,230$14,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,907.3	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed United States	44c	28,349$12,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,801.81	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	26,678$13,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,872.5	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+3.9wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked United States	49c	26,673$13,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,603.38	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed United States	47c	24,830$11,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,151.29	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	44c	23,862$10,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,461.81	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	55c	22,727$12,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,500	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed United States	59c	22,587$13,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,260.62	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed United States	46c	21,909$10,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,750.06	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed United States	49c	21,425$10,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,926.59	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed United States	49c	20,839$10,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,653.28	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked United States	48c	20,096$9,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,449.92	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	53c	20,000$10,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,600	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c44…0fb0backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	18,874$9,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,814.36	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed United States	50c	18,572$9,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,310.62	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed United States	65c	17,052$11,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,019.05	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d5…d9c9backed United States	60c	16,667$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,666.67	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.16per pick	61cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	51c	16,519$8,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,424.53	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	15,170$7,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,888.4	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed United States	46c	15,163$6,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,165.47	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	15,000$7,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,725	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked United States	49c	14,241$6,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,262.82	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	54c	14,104$7,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,600	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabff…9e8fbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	13,462$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	13,029$6,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,798.81	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	51c	12,494$6,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,364.58	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked United States	39c	11,664$4,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,092.92	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	11,538$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	154	53.9%83 W · 71 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked United States	59c	11,425$6,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,655	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	11,330$5,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,891.6	89	31.5%28 W · 61 L	-9.0wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed United States	49c	11,000$5,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,610	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed United States	50c	10,818$5,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,409.09	252	28.2%71 W · 181 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked United States	55c	10,700$5,913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,787	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+6.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed United States	47c	10,638$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,638.3	174	43.1%75 W · 99 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked United States	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,204.08	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b4…213abacked United States	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,204.08	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x744f…f173backed United States	49c	9,998$4,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,098.96	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked United States	41c	9,717$3,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,733.07	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	53c	9,434$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	53c	9,224$4,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,888.64	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed United States	49c	9,184$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,683.67	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…d985backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	9,153$4,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,759.71	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+70.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed United States	48c	8,946$4,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,696.5	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked United States	53c	8,818$4,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,158.52	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	8,653$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,499.56	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614c…ee16backed United States	48c	8,521$4,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,430.79	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed United States	45c	8,305$3,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,560.88	290	18.6%54 W · 236 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	60c	8,082$4,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,811.01	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	25c	8,065$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.96	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	7,777$4,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,044.04	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked United States	49c	7,672$3,759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,912.91	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	73c	7,559$5,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,526.27	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	53c	7,507$3,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,981.41	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…24e8backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	53c	7,492$3,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,965.05	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed United States	49c	7,007$3,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,573.35	98	40.8%40 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	51c	7,000$3,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,570	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	7,000$3,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,605	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	55c	7,000$3,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,849.99	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed United States	47c	7,000$3,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,709.97	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7656…d6dcbacked United States	49c	6,823$3,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,479.92	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	51c	6,411$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250.07	280	42.1%118 W · 162 L	-16.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	53c	6,406$3,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,379.88	335	49%164 W · 171 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: United States (-1.5)this page
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: United States (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event