Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf9c7b5f66605d3c6840e54f72ebed8d9fdaa3017ae2bf8790915d45b56b18d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $586,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 7c | 40,900$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.84 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 7c | 32,142$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.94 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 7c | 20,004$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.27 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 2c | 16,445$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.18 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 2c | 14,947$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.57 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 7c | 5,714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 7c | 3,896$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.73 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Over | 6c | 3,381$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.62 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 6c | 2,873$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 7c | 2,800$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 2,683$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 8c | 2,547$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 8c | 2,526$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 2,034$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over | 5c | 1,656$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 1c | 1,475$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 8c | 1,327$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…ea2dbacked Over | 8c | 1,280$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…1eedbacked Over | 9c | 1,048$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…ab79backed Over | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 7c | 975.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 2c | 740.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ee…04acbacked Over | 8c | 740$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 4c | 707.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 8c | 693.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 7c | 650.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Over | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 9c | 611.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 5c | 557.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 7c | 499.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 7c | 465$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 7c | 370$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…bc44backed Over | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…6216backed Over | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…dde8backed Over | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Over | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 7c | 183$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Over | 6c | 181.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 8c | 127.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.