Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe530b3d9061c6ad26cdad017aee9dd0425914dddbba32bdc47dba98cde539419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 74c | 17,044$12,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.34 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 26c | 8,728$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.96 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 26c | 4,474$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.24 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 25c | 1,351$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.84 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 74c | 1,218$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.05 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 75c | 1,010$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 73c | 999.97$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 866.02$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…bf86backed Over | 26c | 747.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 657.32$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 27c | 641.26$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Over | 26c | 548.77$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 26c | 446.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Over | 27c | 385$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…38aabacked Over | 16c | 310$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Over | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 73c | 232.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 10c | 226.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Over | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 26c | 106.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4486…6577backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…15a0backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 27c | 74.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Over | 27c | 72.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 73c | 68.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…d4bfbacked Over | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 75c | 65.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 74c | 63.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…dd03backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 27c | 51.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 27c | 44.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 74c | 43.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…fda3backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Under | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 74c | 21.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 75c | 18.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.