TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,202,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,190,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,202,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c232,718$66,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,767.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over74c169,004$125,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,962.533458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under22c43,759$9,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,803.193,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under26c42,214$11,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,038.9844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under39c40,587$15,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,638.642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Under18c38,295$6,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,893.1821444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under30c32,412$9,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,745.615929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over72c28,258$20,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,796.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d8a…b2ddbacked Under0c23,679$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.684535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under18c21,649$3,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,896.8133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over57c20,767$11,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,955.0464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over76c18,028$13,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,338.672,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over64c14,788$9,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,387.8966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under40c13,973$5,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,634.1724533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over63c13,711$8,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,072.9929633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under37c13,484$4,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,955.3714544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over77c11,510$8,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.098240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under29c11,270$3,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,256.7544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe291…748ebacked Under18c11,091$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under23c10,717$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.1856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under30c10,348$3,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,148.5514250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80f6…e733backed Under1c10,011$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c9,819$6,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,502.693,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under36c9,477$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.8943737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under18c8,329$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.681,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under38c7,322$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,795.1933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under44c6,641$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.3437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Under16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under17c6,245$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.6320731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over64c6,162$3,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.355435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under17c5,718$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8371638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under43c5,278$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.4920333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under18c5,120$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.591,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9506016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under33c4,563$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,434$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c4,400$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under19c4,300$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81760511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over62c4,290$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.3275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over53c3,933$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.1133544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under20c3,913$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.96648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under16c3,856$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61711149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Under44c3,573$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.839740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…fb7bbacked Over57c3,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.163366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over61c3,382$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.194,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under26c3,254$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.4884751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over74c3,196$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.62,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Under16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over78c3,106$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.3232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over79c3,097$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.439848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under30c3,026$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.791,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under18c2,962$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.22,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Under35c2,960$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.0635034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Over73c2,803$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.8612958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Under36c2,640$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.7811227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under46c2,637$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.4921946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under28c2,526$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.751,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Over61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.023351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under37c2,430$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.9826534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under42c2,394$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.7825942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over56c2,380$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.917342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under37c2,278$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.554944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over70c2,251$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.41,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under18c2,222$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under18c2,222$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9614325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under42c2,217$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.8717534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under45c2,068$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.1719649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over73c2,044$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.0736539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under50c2,021$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.819738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Over56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8808057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9926445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over58c1,999$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.7311042.7%47 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over58c1,996$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.671,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under34c1,964$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.832,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe002…152bbacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.083946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over74c1,919$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.8221958.9%129 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under33c1,905$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.6716150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Under2c1,877$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.972630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under37c1,862$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.687240.3%29 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under11c1,801$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0811216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under39c1,792$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.2925049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under37c1,777$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.4977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over57c1,765$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.7473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.721641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under46c1,747$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.4336234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under41c1,701$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.522,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab77…da8bbacked Over60c1,700$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6805236.5%19 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under18c1,699$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9852744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under39c1,695$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.519835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Over50c1,655$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over74c1,625$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.3224341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under18c1,611$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.931,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over58c1,602$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.552,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over64c1,600$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.2371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Over64c1,552$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.0519737.6%74 W · 123 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…2e0cbacked Over71c1,549$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.33171%22 W · 9 L+7.2wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+56.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4641968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.