TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,104 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over2c19,122$399 inLost-$399.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over3c15,363$399 inLost-$398.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c2,130$70 inLost-$70.293,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over2c2,091$46 inLost-$461,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over4c1,795$74 inLost-$73.672,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over3c1,597$53 inLost-$52.952,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over4c1,308$49 inLost-$49.122,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over4c1,250$47 inLost-$47.333,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over2c1,200$27 inLost-$27.023,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over2c1,102$21 inLost-$20.582,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over4c1,077$42 inLost-$4216136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over1c1,000$11 inLost-$1122835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a4…5e8fbacked Over4c999.99$43 inLost-$434114.6%6 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over4c847.57$32 inLost-$32.213,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Over3c743$26 inLost-$25.9224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…dd03backed Over4c715.25$29 inLost-$28.617038.6%27 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over4c584.99$22 inLost-$22.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over4c487.8$20 inLost-$2043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…dde8backed Over4c250$10 inLost-$10170%0 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf6…12b9backed Over4c250$10 inLost-$101010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over4c243.9$10 inLost-$1019939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.