Spread: United States (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bb3d88dc789b03efe21b9e812dd4e77fd83bef6e8cf09dce2e13bf33c04d02d

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bosnia and Herzegovinaof United States, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $787,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $821,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,015 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	76c	168,614$128,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,530.28	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	83,131$62,754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,377.17	130	36.2%47 W · 83 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed United States	23c	78,872$17,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,752.59	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked United States	26c	53,000$13,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,649.95	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed United States	25c	40,306$10,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,055.01	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked United States	26c	34,931$9,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,081.94	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed United States	25c	30,293$7,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,641.96	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	79c	28,369$22,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,856.59	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	74c	24,623$18,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,402.09	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed United States	18c	17,072$2,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,987.8	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked United States	25c	13,025$3,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,256.3	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed United States	25c	10,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.95	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed United States	16c	9,584$1,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,569.27	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed United States	26c	9,519$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	74c	9,439$6,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,454.23	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked United States	26c	8,270$2,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,145.09	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked United States	26c	8,154$2,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,143.49	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked United States	25c	8,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed United States	26c	7,700$2,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,001.94	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	73c	6,341$4,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,699.37	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked United States	22c	5,449$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked United States	21c	5,395$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.18	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed United States	21c	4,613$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.81	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	74c	4,000$2,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed United States	25c	4,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.98	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked United States	26c	3,840$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.47	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed United States	26c	3,006$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed United States	29c	2,944$853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.37	462	30.1%139 W · 323 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d98…e447backed United States	26c	2,692$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed United States	18c	2,677$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.17	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	2,667$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.67	72	34.7%25 W · 47 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	73c	2,618$1,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.83	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	78c	2,564$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.1	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked United States	20c	2,315$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.7	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed United States	26c	2,308$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked United States	26c	2,291$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.75	204	48%98 W · 106 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed United States	25c	2,184$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.56	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed United States	24c	2,107$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.64	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	2,048$1,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.83	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed United States	26c	2,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	115	31.3%36 W · 79 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	2,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed United States	23c	2,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a3…5336backed United States	26c	1,923$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked United States	26c	1,900$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed United States	24c	1,874$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.83	214	50.5%108 W · 106 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked United States	17c	1,840$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.39	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed7…ed05backed United States	25c	1,773$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.27	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-73%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed United States	13c	1,550$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	336	41.7%140 W · 196 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked United States	26c	1,538$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed United States	26c	1,538$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	77c	1,500$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4554…8deebacked United States	26c	1,500$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed United States	20c	1,450$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	74c	1,351$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.35	360	38.1%137 W · 223 L	-15.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed United States	25c	1,338$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	226	22.1%50 W · 176 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3bb…2641backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked United States	13c	1,253$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.52	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	1,250$933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.44	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	1,250$933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.73	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed United States	25c	1,200$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	302	19.9%60 W · 242 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed United States	10c	1,190$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.35	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66f…104cbacked United States	26c	1,154$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	74c	1,052$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.24	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9548…655fbacked United States	28c	1,040$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.52	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	74c	1,025$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.49	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	303	45.2%137 W · 166 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed United States	25c	1,000$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	74c	955.76$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.5	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed United States	18c	942.14$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.15	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked United States	27c	925.93$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked United States	4c	899.26$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.15	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b4…a4f5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	800$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed United States	26c	790$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.3	278	37.8%105 W · 173 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked United States	6c	788$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.24	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	730.71$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.11	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	72c	671.06$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.25	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked United States	28c	642.86$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked United States	19c	637$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.66	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed United States	18c	600$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.5	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	73c	600$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed United States	3c	565.76$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	107	32.7%35 W · 72 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed United States	26c	546.61$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.12	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed United States	23c	522.25$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.04	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8861…ab58backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	74c	512.14$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.16	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	59cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	80c	510$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.9	575	41.7%240 W · 335 L	-20.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked United States	26c	500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	74c	499.95$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.99	289	45.3%131 W · 158 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe45e…5981backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	478$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.5	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	77c	471.69$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.69	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	455.86$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.84	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed United States	18c	451.89$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.08	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed United States	28c	441.65$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.32	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed United States	25c	416$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked United States	29c	408.58$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.49	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48a4…8c2ebacked United States	25c	406.92$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.73	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+4.8wins	+0.22per pick	24cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	524	55%288 W · 236 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x04f5…e53ebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	74c	400$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f7…8bf1backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	28	75%21 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed United States	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	16.9%10 W · 49 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	48	70.8%34 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: United States (-2.5)this page
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: United States (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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