TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$370,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c78,078$26,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,704.864,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over68c51,401$35,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,344.4223942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over65c42,966$28,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,839.62,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over68c35,684$24,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,531.252,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under31c29,400$9,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,117.648943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under34c23,000$7,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,721.613,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c17,601$11,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,837.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under32c15,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.998931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under31c12,195$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,780.4620731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c8,618$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.362,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over60c5,764$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.262,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Over65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7502882.1%23 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c4,696$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.614,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Over68c4,404$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.242832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+86.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f4…148cbacked Over55c4,312$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.921283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+55.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over68c4,270$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.49349.5%46 W · 47 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabea…72aebacked Under32c4,241$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.985740.4%23 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over69c4,000$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa095…6040backed Under5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-76%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Under25c3,944$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9867259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c3,872$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.062,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c3,738$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under32c2,988$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.011,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under32c2,970$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.38243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under33c2,956$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.337533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under33c2,938$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.331,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over68c2,932$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.4130465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under31c2,581$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.871,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8759463.8%60 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over62c2,321$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.728858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over56c2,104$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.484,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under31c2,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over76c2,000$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.5928337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc02d…62c0backed Under32c1,971$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over50c1,970$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.137560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over36c1,966$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.232,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over76c1,742$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.0914866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under32c1,500$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.8116633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Over67c1,467$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.026749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over68c1,398$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.367844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over68c1,397$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.0622749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ff…479fbacked Over70c1,253$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.92152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked Under44c1,224$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.513568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Over58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50411044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under32c1,152$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.61,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x990d…e207backed Under15c1,070$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.72119%4 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over32c1,045$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.031,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under32c1,043$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.721,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1832…547cbacked Over68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Over69c1,014$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4920532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Over69c1,014$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4924046.3%111 W · 129 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x597b…9ea8backed Over59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4104839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over31c916.13$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.1316953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over45c911.49$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.31,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under13c910.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9811216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over77c891.63$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.111555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under33c877.64$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.6236250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb06…0a43backed Over69c869.57$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Over53c835.85$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.855343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under33c826$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.153,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f2c…6998backed Over47c825.43$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.273135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe557…85bcbacked Under13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid+34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed Under13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044027.5%11 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+63.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Over68c799.99$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2568453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over49c748.29$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.892,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32917747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under15c700$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under73c685.84$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.6612862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x247f…865fbacked Over75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.672955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea3…c245backed Over68c661.76$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.761855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over50c639.1$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.462,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over68c609.88$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1645445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Over49c606.12$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.1214839.9%59 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed70…fbb9backed Over66c605.1$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over69c595.34$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3410261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccca…4c02backed Over69c578.46$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.322948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9de…9353backed Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.923961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc889…4903backed Over67c574.76$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6710143.6%44 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under32c553.79$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7145145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over68c543.47$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over63c530.36$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8447127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b9…29abbacked Over68c529.41$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.417640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.247754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Over68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7112958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Under16c505.07$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.859631.3%30 W · 66 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+93.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1958140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25520234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c499.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Over55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22518028.3%51 W · 129 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Over68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1818043.9%79 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd8f…761dbacked Over69c430.43$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.435648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Over71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.549760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.