TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x597b…9ea8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.5
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.99
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$194.81
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$282
Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$560
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.95
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.2
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$75.99
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$88
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$160
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.1
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+272.3%+$365.7
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.