TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$529,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$450,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5676…b103backed Yes13c22,291$2,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.4220538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x567a…f5f4backed Yes15c17,003$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.271216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes9c11,976$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.429613.5%13 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes12c11,019$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.152020%4 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf861…aa20backed Yes11c8,417$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.74825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+106.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf503…7fe9backed Yes16c7,622$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c6,957$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.321691.8%3 W · 166 L+0.8wins0.00per pick1cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked Yes4c6,726$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.111315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-62.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d0…4427backed Yes13c6,466$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.992846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4e…f455backed Yes3c5,920$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1991020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-70.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes9c5,793$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.284445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes1c5,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516616.9%28 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c4,887$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.481,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes1c4,825$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.726726.9%18 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf50e…61c7backed Yes5c3,680$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae67…bfd0backed Yes4c3,500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.53812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f2…f79cbacked Yes5c3,483$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b3…1cd6backed Yes10c3,464$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff9e…56a1backed Yes17c3,366$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.166536.9%24 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df4…fc58backed Yes10c3,364$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.03825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes2c3,225$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.066229%18 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…9ee2backed Yes7c3,183$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.183959%23 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+85.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1ec4…6b03backed Yes6c3,142$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes4c3,001$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.464440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9e…8ce3backed Yes6c2,736$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…23f6backed Yes8c2,688$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb762…9f0bbacked Yes6c2,567$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,415.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc145…3f23backed Yes9c2,468$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a0…580ebacked Yes4c2,453$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a1…eccabacked Yes3c2,367$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…40c1backed Yes6c2,345$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcecf…e206backed Yes4c2,278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes2c2,200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+107.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff77…4b76backed Yes17c2,196$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.632128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…b197backed Yes9c2,180$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x590b…0276backed Yes6c2,165$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb5d…e145backed Yes20c2,165$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.23560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+144.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Yes18c2,156$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe653…4eabbacked Yes4c2,089$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+263.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3815…4b24backed Yes9c2,076$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4f…f394backed Yes9c2,050$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a3…36adbacked Yes6c2,043$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.41425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+635.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…3d53backed Yes9c1,990$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes4c1,951$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.041357.4%10 W · 125 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4a…017bbacked Yes6c1,918$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b09…7af3backed Yes10c1,910$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x259b…453ebacked Yes3c1,896$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+263.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b7…f68fbacked Yes9c1,746$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb3a…1844backed Yes9c1,682$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x667f…9226backed Yes9c1,657$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf45…3707backed Yes7c1,656$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.26333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+220.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc27…5d60backed Yes2c1,647$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ffe…c6c7backed Yes6c1,631$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b9…441ebacked Yes4c1,623$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+420.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaae9…6aaebacked Yes6c1,563$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4dd…ab11backed Yes1c1,561$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes3c1,560$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.012117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9885…1a8fbacked Yes6c1,524$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f2…58abbacked Yes2c1,505$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e97…bf4abacked Yes5c1,483$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ddb…ed44backed Yes18c1,474$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+142.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaeb…87b2backed Yes9c1,473$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef3f…038dbacked Yes2c1,461$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.07425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+99.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes1c1,412$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12140%0 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed Yes3c1,371$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.16137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes4c1,371$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.353917.9%7 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes12c1,342$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.457317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86ce…6fc6backed Yes5c1,319$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f28…2a31backed Yes9c1,234$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d4…1b7dbacked Yes6c1,214$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d70…d8b0backed Yes7c1,196$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d16…df8cbacked Yes6c1,171$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c1,135$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.582344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7092…d4b5backed Yes3c1,124$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd000…1583backed Yes9c1,113$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8d…71eebacked Yes17c1,090$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.22272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+43%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x264f…a7eebacked Yes8c1,088$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes2c1,039$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.911664.2%7 W · 159 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59d…6bfcbacked Yes15c1,039$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.031717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe63c…dd64backed Yes3c1,028$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9063…3cc8backed Yes16c999.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6563…99bcbacked Yes8c992$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ae…6a5bbacked Yes3c977$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb585…ce5fbacked Yes6c972$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick4cpaid+941.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…2f3cbacked Yes10c965$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe97c…203bbacked Yes2c960$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…34c2backed Yes6c953$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9b4…50dbbacked Yes9c936$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9c…e230backed Yes3c935$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd8…9607backed Yes3c926$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d53…bc8abacked Yes5c879$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c4…33a3backed Yes8c865$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed Yes17c863.19$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.671040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes10c861.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9611647.4%55 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72d…67a3backed Yes7c858$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e4…8c51backed Yes9c852$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b9…df6cbacked Yes8c849$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeacd…8143backed Yes7c847$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.655230.8%16 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd6…c8d9backed Yes8c822$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed No79c815.78$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.313614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.