TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$501,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$504,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5516…f7f9backed Yes47c29,988$14,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,886.09966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked No19c8,711$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No13c5,646$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.0717330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No10c4,375$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.5934354.8%188 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x567a…f5f4backed No14c4,335$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.271216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed No2c4,152$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7120538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedee…f2b4backed Yes25c3,832$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.142544%11 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x543e…8884backed No26c3,346$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e9…485bbacked Yes9c3,277$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick8cpaid+455.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8955…bb5abacked Yes11c3,257$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+843.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…e6cfbacked Yes9c3,174$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+987%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No12c3,120$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.335932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99b2…e13ebacked Yes10c3,115$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+396.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No28c3,067$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.3714027.9%39 W · 101 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ba…dc64backed Yes9c3,010$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,733.08425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+171.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf45…3707backed Yes10c2,916$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.74333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+220.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e1…b73cbacked Yes9c2,885$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+987%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e5…85f5backed Yes72c2,874$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.522548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bba…d8d5backed Yes10c2,852$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick7cpaid+240.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x396c…6ab0backed Yes9c2,813$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+449.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d070backed Yes10c2,664$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+880.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff9e…56a1backed No15c2,537$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.546536.9%24 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No17c2,511$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.817921.2%38 W · 141 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+56.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a7…7dc5backed Yes9c2,510$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+262.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x620b…2af5backed Yes9c2,168$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+987%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…5c39backed Yes9c2,111$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+453.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b97…451cbacked Yes9c2,107$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+263.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d6…675dbacked Yes10c2,054$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.71520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a4…30dfbacked Yes11c2,022$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick8cpaid+371.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f37…f297backed Yes11c1,967$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+843.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No10c1,949$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.751,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4af8…0a0cbacked Yes9c1,880$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+443.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53c4…a4b0backed Yes10c1,879$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+380.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea85…75bcbacked Yes10c1,841$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+390.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3352…df64backed Yes9c1,833$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+449.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5120…1c64backed Yes11c1,804$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick9cpaid+358.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7864…5fcdbacked Yes10c1,798$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+385.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aae…bc6dbacked Yes9c1,708$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae62…15fcbacked Yes11c1,676$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick8cpaid+358.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ec…543ebacked Yes10c1,614$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+384.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2af…3222backed Yes11c1,567$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+358.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aaa…e10fbacked Yes11c1,564$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.22520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a99…1a79backed Yes9c1,537$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.67425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abc…4b1dbacked Yes11c1,510$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+214.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c8…11c3backed Yes10c1,479$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+941.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb477…a2fbbacked Yes11c1,459$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+843.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd41b…e649backed Yes9c1,418$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick7cpaid+262.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d3…d9cabacked Yes9c1,389$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.21425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+171.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…0bd8backed Yes9c1,360$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.88333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+262.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09b9…5b8ebacked Yes9c1,350$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e88…3731backed Yes9c1,334$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6e…1ce2backed Yes9c1,328$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick9cpaid+455.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac14…18cabacked Yes10c1,319$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+420.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b9…df6cbacked Yes11c1,304$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f9…d751backed Yes9c1,295$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.45425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No13c1,276$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7239952.4%209 W · 190 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8122…aaafbacked Yes11c1,266$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick11cpaid+852.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0102…a4bebacked Yes10c1,248$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+861.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No66c1,213$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.4132255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f2a…58afbacked No19c1,207$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.279613.5%13 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8291…fb45backed Yes11c1,204$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.38425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+135.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e77…8525backed Yes10c1,194$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.38425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+160.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc20…0963backed Yes9c1,177$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.72425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+171.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9505…3a03backed Yes11c1,176$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf028…8a20backed Yes11c1,162$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+376.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…4964backed Yes9c1,148$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+449.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd3…f3bfbacked Yes10c1,136$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+398.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b02…ccf1backed No8c1,131$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4b…c72abacked Yes10c1,106$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+410.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…158abacked Yes9c1,027$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdd…9592backed Yes10c991$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+861.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0284…b075backed Yes9c990$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa82d…aee7backed Yes10c988$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+897%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ed…9faebacked Yes10c977$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+220.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a0…05f8backed Yes11c976$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+217.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d05…37a3backed Yes10c955$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+870.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5228…d540backed Yes9c926$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a36…aa7cbacked Yes9c914$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01d…8bd2backed Yes9c912$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.92425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a8d…34c6backed Yes9c898$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+266.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2d…7e4fbacked Yes10c888$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+941.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No22c867.69$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2119315.5%30 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a2…477cbacked Yes17c863.04$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.951910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661f…e34abacked Yes9c852$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+449.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c0…7060backed Yes10c848$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+233.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes12c847.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.826229%18 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No12c847$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3310646.2%49 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No17c844.89$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8622355.6%124 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa227…0b0ebacked Yes11c809$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+135.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb94a…6b99backed Yes9c808$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+262.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c8…b55cbacked Yes11c802$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+817.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2e…ab95backed Yes10c802$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.04425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+150.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f2…037ebacked Yes9c797$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.27425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d30…9988backed Yes11c795$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+817.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf434…7552backed Yes9c783$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.53425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No11c782$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4214954.4%81 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ab…f3f7backed Yes9c774$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No11c771.23$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8718628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No16c756.36$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.077317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13f8…4c2dbacked Yes9c719$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+266.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.