TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes70c27,536$19,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,232.95750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5516…f7f9backed No40c11,324$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,758.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes16c5,182$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.1715650%78 W · 78 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db1…8269backed Yes48c4,412$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.322536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes0c3,797$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c3,306$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.821691.8%3 W · 166 L+0.8wins0.00per pick1cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed No51c3,026$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.7520538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes49c2,481$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.649613.5%13 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49a1…eccabacked Yes1c2,476$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes4c2,095$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8219315.5%30 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,518$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.821,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes1c1,507$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.241357.4%10 W · 125 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes22c1,387$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.711349.6%56 W · 57 L+28.4wins+0.25per pick24cpaid+106.5%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No47c1,322$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.1932255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd1…9249backed Yes45c1,103$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.53339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf040…3a86backed Yes1c1,089$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.39234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes1c930.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes24c901.59$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.998354.2%45 W · 38 L+18.2wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+66.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe947…7a45backed Yes61c896.14$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.3417044.1%75 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f4e…f455backed No65c761.53$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.031020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-70.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked No43c758.18$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes75c600$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4474362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a59…d798backed No24c593$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd8…6d54backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401070%7 W · 3 L+5.4wins+0.54per pick16cpaid+410.7%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes23c498.81$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1910038%38 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes14c440.84$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3316616.9%28 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes15c372$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1550%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d0…4427backed Yes48c336.03$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.962846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2224650%23 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No26c300$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.54526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78a6…4f17backed Yes63c290$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Yes25c287.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724542.2%19 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked No26c285.71$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.431060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+72.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No25c271$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.626052.3%136 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d3…0e90backed Yes9c268.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes10c266.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.435512.7%7 W · 48 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf6…2117backed Yes6c258.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes78c256.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb242…eb89backed Yes21c243.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.182133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes19c238.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.959418.1%17 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No41c233.9$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.043467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c222$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.332344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e24…8266backed No43c204.22$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.033145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+67.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b8f…3b86backed Yes76c200.78$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa3…bb15backed Yes77c193.79$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.981855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffb…7cbfbacked Yes32c169.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-82.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No49c131.19$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2815356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed No28c125$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011020.9%23 W · 87 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No26c124.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8624110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9116343.6%71 W · 92 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No70c119.77$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6410261.8%63 W · 39 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No21c103.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0615446.8%72 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No65c96.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.591,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ab…2048backed No24c85.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.752540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed No48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331275%9 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+201.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4787…59e4backed Yes14c71.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes62c70.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.639414%55 W · 339 L-71.9wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x0c5a…d48abacked Yes21c68.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.281520%3 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e60…da40backed Yes52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eff…8897backed No47c64.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52128.6%6 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No56c60.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.254259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc2f…febabacked No37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed Yes38c54.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.763938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes80c52.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3834726.8%93 W · 254 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f88…0111backed Yes75c50.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.75875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes67c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2918246.2%84 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc05f…ddd3backed No35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e79…b2d0backed Yes72c44.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.491942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes53c43.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1299017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No54c39.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4711045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No35c38.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0937117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No33c36.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.297317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c4…b308backed Yes44c35.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb333…e295backed Yes54c31.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd976…480cbacked Yes74c30.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.414250%71 W · 71 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcdb…c74dbacked Yes70c26.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc8…5709backed Yes52c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.561216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.5wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-76.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Yes55c22.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.435170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa234…b33dbacked Yes68c21.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ff…4739backed Yes78c19.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882e…08c0backed Yes66c15.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf803…f84cbacked Yes66c15.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.031637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x253f…1682backed Yes68c15.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.