TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x882e…08c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.61
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.41
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.82
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$13.6
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26%+$2.66
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.38
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.13
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$19.71
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.37
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.57
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$10.19
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.53
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+62.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.78
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.93
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.37
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$12.77
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$14.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Leandro Riedibacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$25.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$9.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$2.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.