Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac6db0154039534e917da1b563dc2db8c1a6f2ae8a4cff4a2ceab0601fb1b9a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,158,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,158,971 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50b1…f076backed Yes | 49c | 1,274,283$618,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655,585.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 52c | 155,208$80,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,501.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 145,942$75,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,470.36 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 52c | 145,500$75,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,659.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 51c | 134,203$68,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,980.11 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 51c | 125,000$63,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,750 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 52c | 84,400$43,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,888 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 52c | 65,727$34,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,393 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 48c | 62,490$29,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,494.89 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 52c | 44,589$22,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,989.62 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Yes | 47c | 42,553$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,553.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…c5f8backed No | 51c | 41,400$21,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed No | 51c | 41,400$21,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,114 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No | 52c | 39,900$20,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,748 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 37,143$10,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,605.75 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 35,345$18,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,763.5 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 32,346$16,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,833.7 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 51c | 27,000$13,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,770.01 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…28eebacked No | 52c | 26,775$13,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,923 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 52c | 22,006$11,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,443.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 74c | 21,852$16,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.15 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed No | 52c | 19,975$10,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,386.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 51c | 18,888$9,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,632.88 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 50c | 14,025$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 51c | 12,447$6,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,347.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 51c | 12,000$6,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 52c | 10,630$5,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,527.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 51c | 10,350$5,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,278.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 53c | 10,048$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346.04 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 16c | 9,949$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.76 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 52c | 9,660$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 51c | 8,340$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 8,206$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.78 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 52c | 7,499$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 52c | 7,331$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 49c | 7,178$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.98 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 52c | 6,846$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 54c | 6,355$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.54 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed No | 52c | 6,219$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 52c | 5,778$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 3c | 5,739$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 47c | 5,259$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.67 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 5,048$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.96 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 50c | 4,698$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.03 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed No | 52c | 4,180$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 3,805$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.76 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 3c | 3,765$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 52c | 3,576$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.52 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 52c | 3,366$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.54 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed No | 2c | 3,333$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 72c | 3,055$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 35c | 2,583$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.48 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 52c | 2,550$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Yes | 52c | 2,529$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.99 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 7c | 2,342$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 53c | 1,998$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.86 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed No | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…5702backed No | 3c | 1,897$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 3c | 1,741$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 49c | 1,674$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 15c | 1,606$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.08 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,605$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 52c | 1,508$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.75 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 1c | 1,502$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed No | 45c | 1,453$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 48c | 1,444$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.88 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 1,401$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.49 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 72c | 1,398$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.22 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 70c | 1,394$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 8c | 1,307$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 6c | 1,104$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 52c | 1,085$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.73 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,085$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.12 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 52c | 940$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.