Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x309e7b550194a4fe2140c65a84efb26a41e14c7271eb523827e7e4f45ff6d58d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,051 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 74c | 44,271$32,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,510.36 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 40,384$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.84 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 72c | 17,265$12,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.11 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 13,333$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.31 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 28c | 11,264$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 10,722$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 9,980$7,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.39 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,450$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed No | 74c | 6,644$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 72c | 6,463$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.66 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 3,549$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.47 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 28c | 3,029$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 1c | 2,764$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 27c | 2,335$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.55 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 27c | 2,314$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.85 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Yes | 28c | 1,899$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 1c | 1,850$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 1,669$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.23 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ae…ed64backed No | 77c | 1,564$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 25c | 852.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.21 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 764$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.92 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 607.92$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.87 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 578.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 73c | 566.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 2c | 550.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 534.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 21c | 501$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 73c | 496$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 28c | 489.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 4c | 446.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 29c | 418$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.22 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 26c | 376.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 314.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 268.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked No | 74c | 225.11$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked No | 73c | 223$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 28c | 207.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 73c | 206.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 77c | 197$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Yes | 28c | 181.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed No | 76c | 151.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked No | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 28c | 135.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 28c | 135.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 28c | 121$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 117.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed No | 73c | 116$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed No | 73c | 115$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked No | 72c | 114$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked No | 73c | 113$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…8906backed Yes | 11c | 105.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 74c | 104.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…180cbacked No | 75c | 90.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 75c | 85.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Yes | 26c | 79.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…260cbacked Yes | 19c | 72.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 72c | 67.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes | 28c | 66.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed56…a1f2backed Yes | 27c | 66.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 73c | 65.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9198…f83ebacked No | 75c | 64.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed No | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked No | 72c | 59.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed No | 73c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed No | 72c | 55.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 75c | 50.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 74c | 50.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…c560backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked No | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed No | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked No | 74c | 27.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 71c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 73c | 23.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…56babacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.