TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cb7…7a94

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10946.8%51 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$131.56
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.25
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.86
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$156.11
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.81
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.5
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$71.55
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.16
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$65.53
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$165.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$93.07
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$165.07
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.41
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$33.47
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.19
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$67.94
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$67.89
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$60.35
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$101.18
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+344.8%+$206.89
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$71.23
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$42.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.