Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21dea45535ce8251c600c8fffb070b46439a02ac36b56b2dad13e4d27841585d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 65c | 26,882$17,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,473.47 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 64c | 18,428$11,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,767.65 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 17,212$6,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,187.59 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 9,355$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.66 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 35c | 6,700$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,382.08 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 13c | 5,673$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 36c | 4,823$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.02 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 36c | 4,480$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.64 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 66c | 3,125$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.55 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 35c | 2,581$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.3 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 35c | 1,985$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.32 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,714$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.92 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 16c | 1,499$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.68 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 64c | 1,472$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.08 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 64c | 1,372$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 1c | 1,363$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 36c | 1,294$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.88 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 18c | 1,292$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.28 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 3c | 1,238$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 18c | 1,173$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 21c | 1,029$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 965.72$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.72 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 35c | 887$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.55 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 65c | 868.14$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.29 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 63c | 864.98$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.09 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 34c | 735.17$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 664.68$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 598.87$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.04 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 64c | 535.72$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.32 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 16c | 516.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 487.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 439$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.35 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 40c | 362.61$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.68 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 35c | 348.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 15c | 340.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 35c | 290$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 37c | 285.39$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 35c | 277$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 6c | 276.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 37c | 270.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 35c | 240$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Yes | 33c | 232.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 36c | 205.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 37c | 174.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 157.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 146.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 58c | 146$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 16c | 132.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 121.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed No | 65c | 119.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 11c | 100.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…d1e4backed No | 42c | 96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed No | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked No | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 36c | 85.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685a…37e0backed No | 17c | 81.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Yes | 57c | 69.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2716…a6f4backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 16c | 69.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 63c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…9fa0backed No | 66c | 63.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 76c | 62.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 75c | 62.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 65c | 61.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 61c | 50.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 20c | 50.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…bfe8backed Yes | 63c | 47.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 36c | 44.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 36c | 42.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked No | 64c | 40.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 42c | 38.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 36c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed No | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.