Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b3d43bb748c38164387e2524242ccdb6318b59508c1eb9cd79f401405a7bed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 37c | 22,989$8,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600.51 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 20,596$14,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.98 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 21c | 17,800$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.95 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 41c | 8,287$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.12 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 40c | 7,423$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.29 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 7,214$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.91 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 59c | 6,782$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.62 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 5,557$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.91 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 61c | 5,497$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.61 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 40c | 4,823$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.38 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…3fbcbacked Yes | 40c | 3,645$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 58c | 2,653$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.31 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 22c | 2,649$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.67 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 60c | 2,542$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 2,524$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 41c | 2,478$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.2 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 22c | 2,318$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 59c | 2,088$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.93 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 59c | 1,436$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.4 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 1,161$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 1,075$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 58c | 862.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 799.95$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.98 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 735.99$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.89 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed No | 60c | 735$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 34c | 730$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 682.31$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.43 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 41c | 609$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 41c | 609$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 59c | 599.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 593.18$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.29 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 60c | 552.9$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.16 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 60c | 505.25$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 492.24$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 74c | 473.05$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 21c | 469.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 443.91$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.86 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 59c | 437.08$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 431.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 79c | 399$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 391.53$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.19 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 40c | 387.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 59c | 359.92$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 5c | 358.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 40c | 340$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 5c | 319.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 41c | 293.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Yes | 41c | 290$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…dad7backed Yes | 9c | 271.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed No | 60c | 244$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 42c | 242.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 79c | 240$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 58c | 239$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…5b82backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 178.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Yes | 39c | 177.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 41c | 175.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 165.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 165.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 152$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 151$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 11c | 145.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 19c | 130.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 79c | 126.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Yes | 41c | 124$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 114.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 60c | 94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 91.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 39c | 82.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed No | 63c | 79.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 60c | 73.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 63c | 73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 61c | 72.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 60c | 71.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d00…7a76backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 60c | 66.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea6…6a73backed Yes | 40c | 64.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 73c | 62.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 78c | 61.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 76c | 57.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 79c | 56.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 60c | 55.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.