TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x116c…e162backed Under28c48,878$13,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,656.588243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c16,222$4,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,151.761,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a3…b5eebacked Over73c7,575$5,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.31966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over63c7,338$4,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.5410051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over72c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9913548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over72c3,057$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.063360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over60c2,589$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.443745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c2,214$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.3945042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc645…e8bbbacked Over50c2,198$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under35c2,089$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.975362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over63c2,052$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+72%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over72c1,940$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.7359441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99b3…6fedbacked Over75c1,843$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c7…cad0backed Over73c1,746$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under30c1,706$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.941266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over73c1,674$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over74c1,613$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.721560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c1,571$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.4946048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under33c1,464$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.926352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Over73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.96852.9%36 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under16c1,358$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8939443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over46c1,258$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.261637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Over72c1,250$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.54628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under31c1,227$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.261447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over78c1,018$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0714642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf360…95fabacked Under39c1,014$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over63c1,013$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.653240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe96b…f054backed Over73c1,009$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Under27c999.8$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.958720.7%18 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over72c983.2$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.32766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under30c958$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.42853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over73c943.5$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.854334.9%15 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over67c917.68$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.634461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under28c872.83$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5863150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over51c768.87$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7522054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c16…4d41backed Over44c764.33$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.031553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under24c757.3$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.474850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over73c741.22$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.136864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over69c711.46$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.743764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under30c689.49$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.333956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over72c685.39$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.912272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d8a…9fb8backed Over73c673.84$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under29c670.31$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.394465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under29c644.73$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.341238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over72c613.76$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.242356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under17c570.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.174450%22 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over53c570$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.92528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc193…5160backed Over70c558.34$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…109cbacked Under14c553.66$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over72c551.5$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4213453%71 W · 63 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Under42c549.31$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over61c544.33$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under29c540.25$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.145653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under29c540.25$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.143663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over57c513.54$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.76657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under37c511.71$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.263174.2%23 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over72c499.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over72c495.95$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.911080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under28c478.4$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9513134.4%45 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Over65c470.88$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.481553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under31c464.83$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.11353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c450.71$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1899435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over63c449.68$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.211560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under17c426.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3710852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under17c426.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3710648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under17c426.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.377652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under17c426.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.378259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under17c426.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.373762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Over70c420.82$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.242441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over73c404.3$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.165655.4%31 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11213349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over60c399.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602536%9 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under31c399.9$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.977639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Over74c399.08$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.762536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under12c398.22$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.791936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under34c377.34$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.116744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c362.15$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.71,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over73c353.13$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.342871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under14c351.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.414250%21 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.682334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Over73c340$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Under28c334.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.742250%11 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Over74c329.12$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.571850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over71c326.32$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4841553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Under14c319.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.76812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc5…ada3backed Over72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12019455.7%108 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over65c299.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10520655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5734…698bbacked Over73c298.91$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Over60c283.04$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.22812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-79.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2d8…dd09backed Over70c280.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.171060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over68c280.43$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7425659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under29c275.72$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.341118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over73c275.46$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.385358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under32c272.2$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over73c269.53$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7710256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over74c266.71$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.55870.7%41 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.