Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56032261d8f3baa2e37a9baa53aefc01ccc4569dcd821da687bcf44efa0cb89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madrid CFof FC Bayern München, Real Madrid CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $495,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $481,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed FC Bayern München | 25c | 357,063$90,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,334.1 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 86,715$63,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,731.36 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed Real Madrid CF | 76c | 83,776$63,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,106.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Real Madrid CF | 75c | 59,691$44,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,922.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 40,618$29,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,966.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 18,587$14,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.15 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 11,919$8,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 11,812$8,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.65 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 9,982$7,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.58 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 5,368$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.24 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed FC Bayern München | 24c | 4,600$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…82a7backed FC Bayern München | 25c | 4,576$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked FC Bayern München | 36c | 4,551$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Real Madrid CF | 65c | 4,509$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.81 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked FC Bayern München | 24c | 4,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed FC Bayern München | 23c | 3,941$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.35 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked FC Bayern München | 23c | 3,578$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 3,329$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.6 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 3,327$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.15 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 3,327$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.15 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Real Madrid CF | 75c | 3,212$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 3,004$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.34 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed FC Bayern München | 22c | 2,856$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.86 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 2,698$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.89 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Real Madrid CF | 73c | 2,672$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.42 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Bayern München | 24c | 2,600$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.62 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Real Madrid CF | 76c | 2,584$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked FC Bayern München | 70c | 2,573$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked FC Bayern München | 23c | 2,528$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked FC Bayern München | 26c | 2,389$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked FC Bayern München | 23c | 2,351$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed FC Bayern München | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f3…3a31backed FC Bayern München | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Real Madrid CF | 75c | 1,766$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.71 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Real Madrid CF | 73c | 1,729$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.8 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed FC Bayern München | 28c | 1,675$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2211…ed34backed Real Madrid CF | 76c | 1,535$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e1…272fbacked Real Madrid CF | 76c | 1,516$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…7a5cbacked Real Madrid CF | 76c | 1,492$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed FC Bayern München | 22c | 1,453$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 1,415$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.93 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Real Madrid CF | 76c | 1,354$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 1,335$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.63 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked FC Bayern München | 23c | 1,327$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4393backed Real Madrid CF | 77c | 1,283$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Real Madrid CF | 78c | 1,265$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.33 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Madrid CF | 60c | 1,206$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.96 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Real Madrid CF | 70c | 1,197$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.27 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Real Madrid CF | 77c | 1,146$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.3 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked FC Bayern München | 23c | 1,111$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.53 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…b838backed FC Bayern München | 22c | 1,103$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 1,055$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Real Madrid CF | 70c | 1,013$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 1,000$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed FC Bayern München | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed FC Bayern München | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414f…21afbacked FC Bayern München | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed FC Bayern München | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed FC Bayern München | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…8761backed FC Bayern München | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed FC Bayern München | 25c | 999.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked FC Bayern München | 25c | 955$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.75 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 922.49$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.78 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 919.27$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.88 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 917.32$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.42 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed FC Bayern München | 23c | 869.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed FC Bayern München | 24c | 844.36$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.65 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked FC Bayern München | 27c | 812.56$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.05 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 798.16$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.52 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed FC Bayern München | 24c | 795.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 750$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Real Madrid CF | 78c | 725.99$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 714.6$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 684.8$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 684.6$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.66 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 669.92$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.24 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 667.67$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 665.14$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 665.11$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…d11dbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 651.83$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Real Madrid CF | 77c | 613.49$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Real Madrid CF | 34c | 583.39$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Real Madrid CF | 78c | 577.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Real Madrid CF | 80c | 562.51$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked FC Bayern München | 22c | 562.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…43c5backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 532.11$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 528.69$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.83 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Real Madrid CF | 76c | 509.17$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Real Madrid CF | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed FC Bayern München | 24c | 477.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed FC Bayern München | 22c | 477.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 468.57$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Real Madrid CF | 73c | 458.31$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Real Madrid CF | 77c | 448.27$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bd53backed FC Bayern München | 23c | 432.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…c9e0backed FC Bayern München | 69c | 428.2$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 425.37$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…c7f1backed FC Bayern München | 22c | 411.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked FC Bayern München | 25c | 405.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.