TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$325,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 612 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No34c67,823$23,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,373.071,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes62c24,725$15,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,309.421553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No28c24,614$6,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,819.8259741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes68c20,941$14,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,709.423452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c14,709$6,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,250.911,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes73c12,081$8,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.298243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.972334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes50c9,780$4,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,930.93735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6127backed Yes71c7,801$5,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No28c7,260$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.1691537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Yes73c5,302$3,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.681573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked No27c5,236$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.873268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes66c4,872$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.9210051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes67c4,387$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.842839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes73c2,718$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.929757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked No26c2,489$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.351741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes73c2,424$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.62450%12 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa179…258ebacked Yes52c2,167$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.641560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes73c2,038$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.384365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…e2afbacked Yes72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.993129%9 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick19cpaid-27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No36c1,998$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.025362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No28c1,870$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.3743252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No7c1,845$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.981618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No28c1,709$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.412036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes73c1,575$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.252948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed No34c1,461$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.892060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No33c1,457$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.896352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes72c1,449$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.851952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e7…814cbacked Yes68c1,441$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.851145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes61c1,385$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.983740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed No35c1,373$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.574325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes72c1,366$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.3628639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes74c1,335$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.866533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Yes64c1,334$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.681250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Yes74c1,330$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.87560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Yes74c1,330$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.871369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No28c1,325$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9165050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No40c1,288$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.3139743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Yes72c1,254$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No35c1,231$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.4610648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No27c1,184$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6824047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes75c1,173$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.0121460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked Yes73c1,099$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed No27c1,060$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.041216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-54.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xad59…cb41backed Yes64c1,039$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.92850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes73c1,033$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.91666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a74…312fbacked No28c1,025$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.04540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Yes72c1,014$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.663754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No29c1,005$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.451030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae46…a663backed No29c1,001$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed Yes72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Yes72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes60c999.98$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.993145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Yes59c999.91$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.962161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Yes73c999.87$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No28c951.28$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.363455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes55c926.94$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-54.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No34c863.54$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.148259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No34c863.34$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3610852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes64c859.45$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No38c811.44$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.741,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92fb…09d0backed Yes73c808.6$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.321747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No32c794.38$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.623574.3%26 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No37c780.16$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.666145.9%28 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No37c763.3$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8442438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No37c755.16$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.272871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes70c753.9$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4813261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked No26c730.25$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.39650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No35c704.69$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.887652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a9…be54backed Yes65c703.24$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2807941.8%33 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96a0…79ddbacked Yes72c699.08$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.74757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No34c694.55$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.613762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Yes71c694.41$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.562245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No34c692.38$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.695263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed No28c683.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.361428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No38c680.6$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.014850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d8…dd09backed Yes72c678.31$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.561060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes73c673.84$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.941163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes73c670.36$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.342536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed No29c633.36$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x555a…6ee2backed Yes64c632.21$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked No27c629.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.098953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefed…aecdbacked Yes48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.86633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No27c599.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16213349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No31c579.96$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8911443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb2…a30cbacked No9c574.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa124…ff5dbacked Yes69c569.85$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.65988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+44.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x903f…f158backed Yes73c537.33$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d78…2650backed No29c534.16$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes71c518.98$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.530657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No36c518.51$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.338853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes57c512.74$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4814642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes71c503.46$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2454555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes45c499.98$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.998650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes65c495.38$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.91533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.