Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d4b7935e22eacf7a087e159ffe55dd7c54d8321dbf3fb7023c3fff7be27b49e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 11c | 14,215$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.7 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 12,993$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.43 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Over | 33c | 5,895$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.16 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…bea6backed Under | 69c | 4,872$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 68c | 4,318$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.05 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 17c | 4,252$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.83 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 32c | 2,967$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.57 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 2,921$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.4 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Under | 70c | 2,101$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.95 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 1,700$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.41 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Over | 17c | 1,629$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Over | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 1,424$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.81 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…b380backed Under | 69c | 1,221$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 19c | 1,200$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…7680backed Over | 33c | 1,163$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.92 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 1,135$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.85 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…ce05backed Under | 69c | 1,131$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 33c | 1,125$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.49 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 69c | 1,067$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.69 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 33c | 1,018$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.93 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 32c | 1,012$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.89 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 16c | 940.37$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 68c | 875.84$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.09 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Under | 68c | 862.95$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 68c | 721.44$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.04 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…8720backed Under | 73c | 677.4$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 66c | 666$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 28c | 660.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…ade9backed Over | 8c | 642.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Under | 67c | 634.66$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 80c | 606.19$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 31c | 590.83$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 79c | 585.46$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 77c | 582.61$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 69c | 572.28$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 75c | 517.12$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 76c | 505.67$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 69c | 490.7$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 76c | 476.74$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 70c | 407.83$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 391.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Under | 69c | 375.49$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 22c | 372.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 371.98$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 79c | 363.11$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1710…b2cfbacked Under | 70c | 354.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 354.37$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Over | 33c | 341.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 31c | 322.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Over | 29c | 308.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b17…2aa5backed Under | 67c | 296.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…a489backed Over | 33c | 290.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 68c | 288.09$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Under | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff1…6718backed Under | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 27c | 271.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…d3ddbacked Under | 75c | 268.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 31c | 265.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Under | 76c | 258.89$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 79c | 256.78$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Under | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Over | 20c | 239.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 10c | 228.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 19c | 215.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 67c | 212.43$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 72c | 211.44$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…776fbacked Over | 14c | 207.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…74dcbacked Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 12c | 197.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 72c | 184.9$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 68c | 184.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 77c | 182.03$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Under | 68c | 178.85$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 68c | 171.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 32c | 163.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…d507backed Under | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Over | 33c | 147.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…109cbacked Over | 29c | 143.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…d412backed Under | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…34bcbacked Over | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x175f…3217backed Under | 68c | 140.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 34c | 133$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 65c | 131.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 68c | 115.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Under | 79c | 112.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e80…986ebacked Over | 32c | 105.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 68c | 103.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…3151backed Under | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 69c | 99.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Under | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.