Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4c96a8a8d884cabfbfa6e0776d0f5d109324fd4c039b606bd0d088cbd3b0b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,155,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,175,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,155,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 735 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 51c | 314,627$159,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,815.07 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 49c | 249,148$121,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,992.55 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Under | 50c | 156,932$78,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,318.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 51c | 84,464$42,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,967.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 48c | 44,931$21,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,364.27 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Under | 49c | 25,863$12,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,255.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed Over | 49c | 25,239$12,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,367.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 47c | 21,403$10,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,343.68 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 52c | 20,170$10,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,388.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Over | 52c | 19,438$10,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,107.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Over | 52c | 18,677$9,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,712 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 52c | 18,677$9,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,712 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 45c | 15,335$6,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,870.41 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 13,939$7,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,536.27 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 47c | 13,446$6,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,098.88 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 13,027$6,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,398.65 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 49c | 13,024$6,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,381.66 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 51c | 11,360$5,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,566.31 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 10,657$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.74 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 10,348$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.97 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Under | 50c | 9,640$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,820.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 41c | 9,322$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.83 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 9,292$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.73 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Over | 53c | 9,227$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 47c | 7,661$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31e…82cdbacked Under | 47c | 6,687$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 58c | 6,580$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.17 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Over | 52c | 6,200$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Under | 56c | 5,533$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Under | 51c | 5,317$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 48c | 5,217$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.26 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Under | 50c | 5,100$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 47c | 4,987$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.91 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Over | 53c | 4,584$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 53c | 4,177$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 4,170$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.81 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 4,053$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.33 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…bea6backed Under | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.07 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 56c | 3,919$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.46 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 54c | 3,747$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 3,379$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.87 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 53c | 3,276$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.27 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Under | 57c | 3,242$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 48c | 3,100$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.99 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 66c | 2,967$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.78 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 2,949$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.85 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 52c | 2,822$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.14 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 2,788$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 47c | 2,665$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.77 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 51c | 2,661$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Over | 58c | 2,507$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8654…6d92backed Over | 53c | 2,345$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 50c | 2,290$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 44c | 2,248$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.62 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 2,227$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.23 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Under | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 2,213$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.82 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Under | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 2,147$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.88 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Under | 47c | 2,142$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 48c | 2,117$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under | 46c | 2,110$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 44c | 2,051$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…2f52backed Over | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…e646backed Under | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f3…3a31backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 52c | 1,962$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 53c | 1,928$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 60c | 1,915$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.84 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Under | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…6eb6backed Under | 52c | 1,899$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.64 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…1aecbacked Over | 54c | 1,787$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 51c | 1,757$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.08 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 47c | 1,750$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 53c | 1,732$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 39c | 1,730$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.16 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 61c | 1,601$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 51c | 1,542$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.06 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…4cd4backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 33c | 1,480$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.47 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 47c | 1,440$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.1 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…ea63backed Under | 56c | 1,430$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Under | 70c | 1,404$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 51c | 1,396$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.15 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Over | 52c | 1,392$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 51c | 1,378$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 10c | 1,331$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 1,297$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.4 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Over | 54c | 1,268$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.69 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 50c | 1,246$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.19 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 1,232$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.74 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.