TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe50…6eb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+175.3%+$133.17
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$158.57
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,377Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$942.08
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.99
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+64%+$126.87
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+228.9%+$87
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$209.64
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.92
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$227
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$451
Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.45
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.54
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.58
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.5
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+381.3%+$356.5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$173
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.9%+$151.74
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$330.3
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$411.26
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$137.08
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$97.46
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.75
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.62
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$578
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,851.39
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.25
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.9
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$52.94
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+258.6%+$1,460.27
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$138.75
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$711.25
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$600.5
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$112.8
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.5
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120.85
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+336.4%+$486.04
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.28
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$338.74
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$31.74
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$914.64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.31
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$59.79
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$41
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$78.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$100.5
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,919.05
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.48
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+358.3%+$54.73
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$76.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$35.25
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$81
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$38.5
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.73
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$51.31
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.2
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$94
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.99
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+743.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+743.4%+$154.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+261.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+261.9%+$108.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.