TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f8d…a19bbacked Under72c10,341$7,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,431.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c0…19a3backed Under39c8,770$3,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,387.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under20c7,293$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.251,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c5,065$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.462,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under22c4,751$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.5391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under1c3,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under1c3,449$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.497750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Under70c2,691$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.431330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c1,925$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.253129%9 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+275.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over28c1,886$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.710451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over28c1,627$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.1229862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19110%0 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+206%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c950$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Over31c927.68$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.15131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under69c715.43$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.78052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over31c620.31$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.197051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under71c599.9$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over31c535.2$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.43013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under57c512.74$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.264254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over28c512.57$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.0513350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over29c508.29$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.834742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7e…6f50backed Under19c500.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over29c402.11$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.58453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over49c390.25$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.711346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe50…6eb6backed Under53c388.72$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over34c361.37$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.133663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over49c357.93$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.549650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c357.93$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5415244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over49c357.93$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5414752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over49c357.93$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.545162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over29c330.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.44942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under60c323.32$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under71c322.81$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under20c314.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.732857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over29c301.53$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.669056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2131241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick63cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under65c281.88$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1210759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over28c271.92$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.789561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over37c260.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8313826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under19c249.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4942347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over29c244.89$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2139354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over29c241.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.34472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under20c235.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.024131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under73c233.16$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2119652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc15…ae53backed Under55c222.91$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over34c210.21$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.361850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under53c194.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.012948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over29c191.48$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over64c171.48$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.594365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Under20c169.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.222166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over29c165.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over29c165.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.24557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2be…fa51backed Under67c161.68$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c160.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5919042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66b…1435backed Under53c155.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.61435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Over49c149.92$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.461070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Over28c144.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.11154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Under73c135.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Under72c130.06$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.641258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under69c127.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.914555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb8a…9806backed Under73c126.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.472347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef8a…7035backed Over80c119.91$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.98366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under20c119.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.223164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under18c112.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6518125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Under20c104.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9410147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under72c99.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.764932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.513146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over80c90.4$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.084963.3%31 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2559…053bbacked Under69c83.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.01366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.771553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick71cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Over29c82.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over29c81.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.258523.5%20 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.220452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Over28c72.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.841741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Under56c69.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Under55c68.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.842733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Over28c68.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+55.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Under64c65.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.343148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c63.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8931051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…6e9dbacked Under73c60.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick65cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.25354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Under19c59.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44050%20 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under19c59.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over29c59.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.141546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over28c57.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7531958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Under73c53.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-44%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc56…77cdbacked Over79c49.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Under69c49.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.341855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d21fbacked Over28c48.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Under64c46.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.19520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick68cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under54c45.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.316347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over72c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4831738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under73c40.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.514463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over58c39.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.683360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe2da…74e3backed Under53c38.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over35c37.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.