Serie A · resolved market
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d112b39fb3acfc841300a145503d03be2e5ebd21f454f8689494f0735913d00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Internazionale Milanoof FC Internazionale Milano, AS Roma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed FC Internazionale Milano | 24c | 1,096$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.4 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AS Roma | 68c | 290.13$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed AS Roma | 77c | 248.15$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.76 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Internazionale Milano | 47c | 203.94$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed AS Roma | 74c | 196.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 26c | 194.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed FC Internazionale Milano | 80c | 142.03$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Internazionale Milano | 50c | 140.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FC Internazionale Milano | 16c | 113.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed AS Roma | 12c | 99.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed FC Internazionale Milano | 19c | 92.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed FC Internazionale Milano | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed FC Internazionale Milano | 16c | 83.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 70c | 83.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed AS Roma | 77c | 72.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed AS Roma | 77c | 72.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed AS Roma | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked AS Roma | 60c | 60.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked AS Roma | 78c | 20.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.