Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc18b5349f14156e4a0c8b3ae3d9dbf82e6da44124c9a44b3bd3b004c3e9609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.99 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 2,549$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.23 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…9a75backed Over | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 79c | 1,553$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.98 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,364$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.36 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…6eb6backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Over | 16c | 1,195$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.94 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 908.1$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Under | 78c | 685.97$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.81 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 479.3$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.78 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 46c | 473.28$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.57 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 17c | 428.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.86 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Under | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…4768backed Over | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 14c | 304.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.16 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 46c | 285$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 55c | 249.21$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 55c | 246.69$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.58 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…be4ebacked Over | 47c | 164.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 74c | 160$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 77c | 155.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Under | 74c | 128.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 77c | 115.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 53c | 108.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 58c | 101.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Under | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 28c | 75.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…1701backed Over | 78c | 75.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Under | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…5854backed Under | 55c | 60.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 46c | 52.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 71c | 42.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Under | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 54c | 37.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 48c | 35.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 48c | 35.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 34.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked Over | 77c | 23.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 48c | 23.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 48c | 23.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Under | 76c | 22.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 74c | 21.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Under | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 74c | 19.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.