Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa597f494e7e66ef830e17a5308f58497b346f35408e5b6b7a6e2f293712f88ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 3c | 3,773$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +275.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 8c | 1,625$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 22c | 1,070$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 939.03$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 78c | 799.52$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 78c | 632.56$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…f208backed Under | 6c | 538.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 78c | 468.1$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 14c | 410.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 76c | 361.51$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…9086backed Under | 10c | 321.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…5b82backed Under | 24c | 302.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 25c | 277.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 251.57$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 75c | 227.54$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 77c | 217.3$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 21c | 214.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 210.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 182.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 178.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 23c | 156.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…bfe7backed Under | 8c | 131.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 22c | 127$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Over | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Over | 77c | 102.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 23c | 101.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 79c | 86.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 78c | 62.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Over | 78c | 59.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 78c | 49.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 22c | 47.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Over | 76c | 40.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…df6cbacked Over | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 77c | 30.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 77c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…c173backed Over | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 76c | 13.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.