TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$460,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$468,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over51c235,797$120,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,931.212634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8379…ed71backed Over52c82,557$42,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,676.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+69.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c72,583$34,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,182.232,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,199.994757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over52c36,893$19,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,708.878743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c26,158$12,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,555.8432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c24,105$11,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,771.2193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c22,442$9,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,972.31,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c22,070$10,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,539.526659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6003562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2004351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under50c12,146$6,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,028.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c7,791$4,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,739.71553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23c…33f1backed Under48c7,600$3,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,64820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Over53c7,185$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under49c6,500$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1601747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8803243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under49c5,935$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.2955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c0…19a3backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.995653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c4,329$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.791457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d39…c732backed Under48c3,867$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under49c3,786$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.011747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under3c3,778$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.243129%9 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+275.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under47c3,731$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…be4ebacked Over53c3,667$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over54c3,614$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.679054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Under49c3,365$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.95450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c3,351$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.6368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c3,141$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under46c2,974$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.9850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5177backed Under41c2,965$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Under47c2,506$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under49c2,433$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.276567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under48c2,089$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.5943058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under49c1,978$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.46357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over53c1,944$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.493948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under49c1,939$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.011560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c1,794$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86612049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under50c1,661$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.848453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under47c1,635$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.546659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c1,444$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.129652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under50c1,182$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5917558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under50c1,165$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.877548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over52c1,121$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.95242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over51c1,080$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5297546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under49c1,078$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.1119154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8654…6d92backed Over53c1,052$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over53c1,020$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.263565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c980.74$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under50c975.23$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.8311346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under49c969.42$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.023164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c967.27$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.9615244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under49c965.26$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.981872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under36c963.82$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.9791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under49c953.24$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.383663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c950$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45142347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over79c947.86$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.84060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under49c943.43$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.634365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6660…2398backed Under50c934.19$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c901$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.818757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3921442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc333…05a5backed Over63c795$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under49c783.64$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.01988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+50.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under49c776.03$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.265754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c750$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c743$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4638547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…0a81backed Under49c735.77$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under48c698.34$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.213946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c685.58$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.1939354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under49c676.36$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.422857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over53c645.17$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under48c622$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.561741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Under48c609.54$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over75c603.81$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.955166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Under49c573.77$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.152166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under49c556.53$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.73663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under48c550$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26413146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under49c549.6$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.314752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under50c542.19$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.16063.3%38 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e98…f208backed Under6c538.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over52c528.56$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.712161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under48c524.17$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3710451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under48c521.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.41825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over49c514.95$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6311349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under49c494.43$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.271675%12 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c492.63$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1832854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under49c490.76$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.414557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under49c489.81$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.355450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over62c473.74$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.251540%6 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under48c472$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.61952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under49c456.14$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.821747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under49c439.14$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.591030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Under49c426.6$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.