TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa3c0…19a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,125
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.42
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,059.99
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.07
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.52
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.21
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,583Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$890.47
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$569.42
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$79.92
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$126.54
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.39
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$106.56
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$219.78
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$2,580
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$182.94
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$819.59
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$379.62
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,823Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$843.18
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,702.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$79.92
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,664.41
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$73.26
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.07
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.08
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$269.73
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$73.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$777
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,801Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$666.06
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.