La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d3cbd2f9f3a2eba6725f5f60518a022df49cd4b6a857e69930f77c512c2bbf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 12,697$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.67 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 74c | 5,670$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 5,148$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 67c | 2,471$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.97 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 11c | 1,440$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 1,438$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 68c | 1,360$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.97 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 73c | 1,355$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.69 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 5c | 1,103$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 11c | 1,101$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 30c | 984.91$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.99 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 30c | 889.71$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.98 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 30c | 889.38$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.98 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 11c | 860.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…d6cabacked Under | 67c | 641.09$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 70c | 539.57$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.88 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 27c | 480.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 27c | 354.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…19a3backed Under | 67c | 332.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 78c | 330.7$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 8c | 286.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 75c | 254.74$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 14c | 249.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 66c | 198.75$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 29c | 167.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 29c | 167.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 26c | 165.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 9c | 164.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Over | 34c | 147.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…5fd6backed Over | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 31c | 133.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e5…008cbacked Under | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 33c | 115.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 33c | 115.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 16c | 112.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Over | 27c | 109.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 75c | 108.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Under | 74c | 106.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 25c | 79.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Under | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 74c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed Under | 74c | 55.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Over | 31c | 54.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 67c | 54.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…0b82backed Under | 66c | 46.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 31c | 45.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…f727backed Under | 66c | 44.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…e467backed Under | 73c | 40.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under | 78c | 39.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 66c | 39.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…4812backed Under | 75c | 38.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 31c | 37.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…fb3bbacked Over | 29c | 36.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Under | 74c | 30.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Under | 75c | 30.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…7216backed Under | 72c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…e809backed Under | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 73c | 25.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 75c | 22.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 70c | 21.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 72c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 62cpaid | -58%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked Under | 70c | 20.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Under | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Under | 74c | 19.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…092dbacked Under | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…3ba4backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…efaabacked Under | 75c | 13.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.