La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc19874e56051fa96b4483b510eb1cda084646be81db7962dbfd3602691a69370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 9c | 8,375$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.64 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 4,432$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.54 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 4,266$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.37 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 33c | 3,588$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.55 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 69c | 1,991$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.15 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 66c | 1,723$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.72 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb08e…2f34backed Under | 19c | 1,650$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 63c | 1,333$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.21 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 65c | 1,284$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.17 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…8c7bbacked Under | 20c | 1,190$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 11c | 1,144$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 72c | 1,046$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.24 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 66c | 979.6$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 12c | 926.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…7334backed Over | 65c | 783.2$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over | 63c | 768.27$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 73c | 699.97$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 78c | 631.74$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.86 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 34c | 480.28$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.69 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 9c | 460.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 67c | 438.88$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 80c | 434.68$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 69c | 400$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 12c | 379.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Under | 38c | 366.66$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +203%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 35c | 335.69$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 79c | 311.66$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…c764backed Over | 79c | 296.22$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…6796backed Under | 35c | 238.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 12c | 219.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 61c | 171.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 79c | 162.48$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 14c | 142.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Over | 80c | 128.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 19c | 112.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 76c | 99.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Under | 13c | 98.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 77c | 94.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 16c | 86.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 34c | 84.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 25c | 81.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 64c | 75.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f15…50cbbacked Over | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6e…6cedbacked Over | 73c | 67.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 66c | 59.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Over | 79c | 57.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 66c | 29.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…f7d9backed Over | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Over | 80c | 17.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…301fbacked Over | 75c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.