TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under35c19,984$7,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,980.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c14,211$6,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,398.8884144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over47c10,030$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.0812553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under52c6,573$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,172.195339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c4,664$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.174,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c4,273$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.223,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over68c4,236$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.283775.7%28 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over30c3,929$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.536858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over45c3,300$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4852665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf95…905bbacked Over51c3,111$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over76c3,100$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.911457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under37c3,078$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.745166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under50c2,535$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under32c2,160$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.321,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under26c2,036$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.49244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over49c1,972$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over36c1,801$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.55330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over46c1,711$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.910820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over66c1,704$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.6735759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over65c1,551$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.3422455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over65c1,551$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.3440357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over65c1,551$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.3428357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over65c1,551$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.3423456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over66c1,532$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.877954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under26c1,507$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.9810168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under66c1,340$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.1862258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over65c1,313$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.23161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Under50c1,267$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over46c1,250$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5752814.3%4 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over46c1,052$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over65c1,002$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.6216660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over19c1,001$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2817731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7403663.9%23 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6805927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c899.41$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.5192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over74c880.49$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.622,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under55c851.53$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7528846.5%134 W · 154 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under57c823.09$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.932142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddc…6796backed Under42c772.8$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3a…65c8backed Over69c764.97$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+128.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over67c748.98$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.823040%12 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over65c748.59$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.6320360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under31c747.45$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.4390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under60c737.93$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.441,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over68c721.18$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.49564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over14c710.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0984939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over35c678.12$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2723255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over38c673.96$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.13831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x784f…60cbbacked Over75c656.67$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over69c629.89$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.625547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Under50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over68c561.18$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.650949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over57c539.65$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.154057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab70…0322backed Over46c525.98$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over56c522.04$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.348252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016845.8%77 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c497.57$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.0520451.5%105 W · 99 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Over68c490.4$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.471711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-67.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x023e…7334backed Over38c481.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over74c479.19$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over22c469.79$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6119953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3b…b190backed Over38c428.19$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb98…6730backed Under45c424.34$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c424$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124450%22 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Over70c420.86$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.61560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over58c420.17$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.711444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c410.47$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.688041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d73…f538backed Under44c408.52$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.77825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Under60c407.21$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+78.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over60c405.58$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.031154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c395.7$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8313251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over75c394$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.59071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under59c366.75$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.372166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under30c359.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7834252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f15…50cbbacked Over61c353.16$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.94850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over32c348.3$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2610418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over65c335.54$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.521861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over52c319.38$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.083046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed Over49c314.74$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfda7…a4dcbacked Under53c313.96$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over48c302.07$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.334748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over46c299.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13816149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over44c293.59$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.92416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over69c284.46$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.281442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over37c283.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.172343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Over54c270.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over75c259.92$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.941145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…9074backed Over39c246.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43bc…d3ddbacked Under66c244.9$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.274100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c220.37$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.541,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c210$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.85056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under59c208$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.043164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over73c204.04$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4622758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over38c203.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.561070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Over65c200.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.324269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc3b…b37fbacked Over67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.941060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under30c191.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.123246.9%15 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+62.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.