TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$727,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$741,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,179 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under50c305,298$151,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,702.3110450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Over47c111,571$52,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,285.181942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c62,343$31,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,288.1715459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Under53c58,230$30,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,368.14100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under48c38,927$18,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,242.119743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over46c38,448$17,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,68610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c35,510$15,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,756.454,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Under55c19,547$10,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,845.483342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c14,618$5,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,428.233,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc690…42b8backed Under62c13,936$8,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc31e…82cdbacked Under56c13,477$7,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,961.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over51c13,252$6,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,795.43956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under53c13,000$6,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,104.984146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c12,831$6,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,672.0183444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over31c9,881$3,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,109.4210820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c9,333$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,759.865149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Over52c9,323$4,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,856.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over50c7,754$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.62250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ce…791cbacked Over52c7,676$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,991.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under53c6,119$3,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.466858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over52c5,578$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.067439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under54c5,317$2,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.149244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under47c5,250$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.496944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c5,117$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.651,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over50c4,845$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.0735759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over52c4,623$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over50c4,529$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.8416660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over50c4,319$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.347954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over51c4,086$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.8823456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under64c4,061$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.121070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over51c3,770$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.761330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc14d…69acbacked Over51c3,655$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x155b…f29dbacked Over51c3,598$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over50c3,539$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.7822455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under53c3,500$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.510760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c3,283$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.351,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under64c3,067$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.911060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over50c3,021$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.4628357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3507553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.965253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over50c2,979$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.541952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over45c2,963$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.854461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Under70c2,806$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.711457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c2,756$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.3564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c2,716$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35820159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Over52c2,699$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.38850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over54c2,543$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.021442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over50c2,501$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.540357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30010168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over50c2,169$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.4622758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over54c2,018$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.275339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92013845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Under54c1,971$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.0420843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over51c1,757$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.2374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over16c1,674$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.875330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Over46c1,555$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6906051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6905750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6905749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under49c1,403$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.2950449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under54c1,283$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.181952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Under49c1,187$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+72.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under69c1,119$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.962665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5399147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over50c1,078$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.8422446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under44c1,015$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.378756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf003…0a0cbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f1…d942backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4605927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4605853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9911333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48511566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over50c963.05$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.120360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over50c963.05$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.123957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Over50c905.87$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.364269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under54c900.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.171656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under54c859.32$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.5875451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over49c833.15$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0289050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under53c799.98$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.999753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over18c792.33$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6210418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2571…a49abacked Under55c744.79$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over46c729.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.2819953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed Over45c710.27$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.62742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+91.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under68c661.15$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.531,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over17c650$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.590%0 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over38c609.24$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.441,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over46c588.97$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.933339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2919164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over45c574.22$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over19c554.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9444424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Under55c551.9$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over55c546.93$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.81862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over53c535.19$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.941030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over45c533.36$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…ba40backed Under78c530.52$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.031118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over52c526.22$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.956746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2303470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Over52c485.6$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.