TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Girona FCof Real Madrid CF, Girona FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$359,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,670 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Girona FC49c136,423$66,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,155.5410450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Real Madrid CF53c92,325$48,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,578.646832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Real Madrid CF52c39,886$20,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,740.62250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Girona FC49c33,321$16,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,933.33850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Girona FC47c31,737$14,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,820.468756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Real Madrid CF52c11,998$6,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,238.869244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Girona FC48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Real Madrid CF50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid CF51c6,245$3,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,170.914,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Real Madrid CF51c5,834$2,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.5116660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Madrid CF51c5,543$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.862,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Real Madrid CF51c4,710$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.335759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Real Madrid CF51c4,708$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.5240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Real Madrid CF52c4,696$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Real Madrid CF51c4,693$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.8422455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Girona FC49c4,324$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.126944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Girona FC51c3,808$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Girona FC46c3,627$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.757656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Real Madrid CF52c3,455$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.436746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Real Madrid CF51c3,211$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.928357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Real Madrid CF51c3,109$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.8223456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Girona FC48c2,937$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.7864457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Real Madrid CF50c2,720$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3601330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29ac…ea58backed Girona FC58c2,505$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Real Madrid CF54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Real Madrid CF52c2,394$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.77954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Girona FC50c2,394$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.913560%21 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Girona FC47c2,085$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.0520159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Real Madrid CF51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0205050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Real Madrid CF51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.985255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Girona FC49c1,873$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.18862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Girona FC51c1,847$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.683,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Real Madrid CF50c1,846$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.7714549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Real Madrid CF52c1,390$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.1222758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Real Madrid CF52c1,330$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.492060%12 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Real Madrid CF39c1,214$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.1823727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Real Madrid CF51c1,165$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.012334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Real Madrid CF50c1,145$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.552955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Real Madrid CF51c1,143$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Real Madrid CF52c1,121$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.723737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Real Madrid CF52c1,079$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.0822446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Real Madrid CF51c1,067$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.14269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Real Madrid CF51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Real Madrid CF52c989.88$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.7410245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Girona FC49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.481741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Real Madrid CF52c981.31$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.520360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Real Madrid CF51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.0111566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Real Madrid CF52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.623957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Girona FC49c902.4$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Girona FC49c791.35$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5920843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Girona FC47c785.17$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.1410948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c23…261ebacked Real Madrid CF50c785.1$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.731163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed Girona FC49c678.4$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Real Madrid CF52c618.82$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7932645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Girona FC48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3129058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Real Madrid CF37c592.91$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.71520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Girona FC49c572.16$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.823259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Real Madrid CF52c552.24$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.267630.3%23 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Real Madrid CF51c549.12$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.193354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e34…12c1backed Real Madrid CF53c540.99$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.31911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Real Madrid CF55c531.07$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Madrid CF33c527.83$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.21,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfad9…77c2backed Real Madrid CF75c525.71$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Real Madrid CF47c515$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+78.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Girona FC48c510.37$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0113728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Girona FC25c503.73$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.86839.7%27 W · 41 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+118.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Real Madrid CF53c494.4$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3911149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x818b…5ae0backed Real Madrid CF52c490.86$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Real Madrid CF53c488.31$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Real Madrid CF50c455.6$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Real Madrid CF51c450$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.575451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Real Madrid CF53c419.12$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.131450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Real Madrid CF52c418.36$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.553253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Girona FC48c411.68$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5719358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Real Madrid CF35c405.54$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.94837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Girona FC49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Real Madrid CF53c388.72$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.021711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-67.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Real Madrid CF51c383.41$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3919953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid CF51c380.77$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1228342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf63…65dfbacked Real Madrid CF51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.122634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Real Madrid CF52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.244250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Girona FC45c367.82$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Real Madrid CF55c353.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.62657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4963…afc9backed Real Madrid CF38c353.38$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.37812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5734…698bbacked Real Madrid CF52c350.92$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d73…f538backed Real Madrid CF57c343.17$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.81825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Girona FC47c327.17$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.198254.9%45 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Girona FC48c324.22$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5910760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Real Madrid CF19c319.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Real Madrid CF34c318.8$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.182060%12 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Real Madrid CF54c304.61$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.114148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68e…30cfbacked Girona FC52c304.33$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Girona FC67c303.86$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.27560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Real Madrid CF53c300.82$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.437560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Real Madrid CF53c291.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.524841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Real Madrid CF50c274$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1375330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Real Madrid CF41c267.68$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.271618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Real Madrid CF46c263.42$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.943834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Girona FC49c257.19$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.175156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Girona FC47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.511154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.