La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x728d7b8bfda333872a292d93bcc5b8ee987d119b7930ff3e473e567d629ba743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Girona FCof Real Madrid CF, Girona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Real Madrid CF | 17c | 12,504$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Girona FC | 76c | 5,287$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Girona FC | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Real Madrid CF | 31c | 1,947$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Girona FC | 69c | 1,066$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.3 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Girona FC | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Girona FC | 70c | 982$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Real Madrid CF | 23c | 768.26$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbb…1b13backed Real Madrid CF | 31c | 697.74$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Girona FC | 69c | 647.5$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Real Madrid CF | 31c | 639.79$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Real Madrid CF | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Girona FC | 68c | 530.33$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Girona FC | 73c | 513.92$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Madrid CF | 14c | 500.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Girona FC | 80c | 410.11$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Girona FC | 80c | 408$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Girona FC | 70c | 375.21$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Girona FC | 70c | 312.32$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Girona FC | 71c | 294.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Real Madrid CF | 32c | 293.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Real Madrid CF | 20c | 285.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Real Madrid CF | 32c | 281.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Real Madrid CF | 31c | 280.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Girona FC | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Real Madrid CF | 31c | 217.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Girona FC | 71c | 179.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Real Madrid CF | 31c | 164.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Real Madrid CF | 32c | 149.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Real Madrid CF | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Girona FC | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Girona FC | 70c | 140.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Girona FC | 70c | 140.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…0687backed Real Madrid CF | 30c | 129.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Real Madrid CF | 23c | 128.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Girona FC | 77c | 123.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Real Madrid CF | 31c | 112.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Real Madrid CF | 18c | 107.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Real Madrid CF | 30c | 105.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Real Madrid CF | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…d01cbacked Real Madrid CF | 28c | 101.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Girona FC | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…5be4backed Girona FC | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Real Madrid CF | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Real Madrid CF | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Girona FC | 69c | 88.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Girona FC | 68c | 85.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Girona FC | 68c | 83.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Real Madrid CF | 31c | 80.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Girona FC | 70c | 78.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Girona FC | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…d1fdbacked Girona FC | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Real Madrid CF | 31c | 60.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Girona FC | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Girona FC | 70c | 42.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b65…eaedbacked Girona FC | 73c | 35.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Girona FC | 69c | 32.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Real Madrid CF | 33c | 31.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Girona FC | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Girona FC | 70c | 28.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Girona FC | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Girona FC | 78c | 24.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +8.3wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Girona FC | 75c | 20.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Girona FC | 75c | 19.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Girona FC | 70c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.