TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over42c29,767$12,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,591.3418923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c20,073$12,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,355.092,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Over38c19,316$7,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,246.282725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Under57c9,324$5,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,009.261323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under60c9,286$5,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under58c8,061$4,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.2968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over42c7,168$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,002.361833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under59c6,220$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.396659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c6,030$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.3393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1002075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b45…db25backed Over41c4,644$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.0350%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under59c3,912$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under60c3,904$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.67560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under64c3,629$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.0619154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c0…19a3backed Under59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under64c2,796$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.9315244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under64c2,796$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.9314752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under64c2,788$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.419650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over41c2,353$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.65242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under56c1,764$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.094355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over44c1,708$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over34c1,674$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under60c1,618$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.65162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under61c1,605$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.041747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Over41c1,572$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.352330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over42c1,491$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.067546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under60c1,372$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.028453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over39c1,315$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.526535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under59c1,284$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.4710650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under59c1,255$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.16369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under59c1,253$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.446170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under58c1,200$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.3241954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over24c1,200$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.74365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over38c1,154$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.399937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ad…b017backed Over41c1,106$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under59c1,102$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.6933357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4105666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4205867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over41c983.89$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.47749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under58c920.16$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.164555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Over42c919.24$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.08333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under59c900$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3696666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under58c837.34$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.874365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under59c826.59$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.911346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under61c826.12$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.193450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c746.34$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.131,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Over32c734.53$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under68c717.49$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.357548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over44c687.46$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4811429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over29c678.32$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under59c629.55$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.716070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over41c611.96$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.93565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2586465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over41c588.17$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1517058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over13c546.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.083013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over41c527.28$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.07911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-80.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over41c527$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.071353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over41c517.59$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.219054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Over41c517.59$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.21837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2156167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under61c492.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.533663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over41c485.45$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.046036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over41c463.48$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.031540%6 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over43c449.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1613636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c448.23$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6739354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under59c443.23$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.722365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over33c439.97$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.191560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over41c427.72$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.36837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under58c420.17$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.475450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under57c420$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.61952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under57c420$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.62050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over41c409.97$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0911349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over23c406.4$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.471330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over17c405.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4616526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under58c399.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16813146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under58c387.66$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.634557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over42c375.8$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.31145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under57c370$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.12653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over28c365.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.243141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under65c351.34$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1310451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under58c336.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under58c333.08$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9532854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.567163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.565170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under72c324.46$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.853857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over32c315.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1295269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over39c296.43$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6115459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over38c288.84$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.767424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under64c276.68$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.464557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under57c274.29$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Over41c274.16$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.42138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over43c249.85$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.443740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.