TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over61c23,050$14,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,051.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c13,524$6,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,290.762,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a7…ffedbacked Over28c10,309$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.111729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c9,108$5,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.821,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over54c8,000$4,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,279.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c7,457$3,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,968.9632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c3,268$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.9193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over29c1,438$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.943348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over69c1,422$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.43148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over69c1,422$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.41361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over72c1,375$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.93250%16 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Under66c1,297$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under41c1,259$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.111346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over69c1,169$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.718957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over69c1,155$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.02540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under68c1,155$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.985166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under75c1,130$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9214752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under75c1,129$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.95162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under75c1,129$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.459650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over39c1,112$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.37812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under53c1,043$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.058453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over58c1,003$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.724463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over12c1,001$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8812351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48015042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over30c999.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over48c984.95$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c950.79$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over68c886.31$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.693464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over37c817.87$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over48c804.69$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.724365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over18c799.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14310233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under29c791.5$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.1332854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under72c774.3$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3615244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under72c753.55$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2119154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdd…b1a1backed Over17c741.54$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under74c738.57$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.692763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over69c700$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4834060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Over22c680$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-57.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over44c679.23$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.2815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under29c675.4$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.4939354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef42…5d27backed Over71c673.13$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under42c670$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.973450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over44c650.08$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.646535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over37c579.15$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.75837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x784f…60cbbacked Over70c561.14$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over17c558.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.023013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75af…145fbacked Under32c506.97$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under10c500$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under32c471.95$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.921241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over21c458.02$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1813826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under14c450$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+237.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under40c444.16$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.524365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over54c438.96$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.042171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over35c438.11$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.666937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over36c431.06$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.18812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-71.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb31d…94aebacked Over69c426.7$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over43c404.87$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8716526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Over70c402.6$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under73c399.26$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.461675%12 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over68c399.04$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over36c384.64$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.472152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under66c384.44$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.085450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over26c381.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.271931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Over13c364.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3950%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over61c350.02$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.511136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under14c350$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick9cpaid+324.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over33c343$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.191421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under10c342.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.66633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick7cpaid+233.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over68c331.51$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.68965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under68c320.07$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.233663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over32c301.76$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.562842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over65c299.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1957424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under32c299.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.831172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under31c298.88$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5565254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over69c296.16$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.057546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over70c281.38$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.371540%6 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over70c280.57$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under48c280.2$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.774942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under68c279.29$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.516063.3%38 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under44c266.39$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.994557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.221020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid+8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over66c259.74$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.437262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under24c252$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.52742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick19cpaid+148.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under70c246.43$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.553164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf853…8088backed Over68c243.53$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under65c237.38$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.081560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under64c229.63$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.874654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Under76c225.98$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.991080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over11c215.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6617058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over69c207.66$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2810259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0624…801ebacked Over69c206.65$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.591637.5%6 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-44.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over69c199.12$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick73cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c194.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4934553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under31c181.19$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.846851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over54c180.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.241747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.