TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
AC Milanof SSC Napoli, AC Milan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,291 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa20…fd0dbacked SSC Napoli15c3,002$450 inLost-$450.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed SSC Napoli17c1,900$322 inLost-$322.143040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked SSC Napoli16c1,777$285 inLost-$284.895131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed SSC Napoli7c983.42$68 inLost-$68.26535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked AC Milan70c903.82$634 inWon+$269.591,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed SSC Napoli16c861.54$138 inLost-$137.857546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed SSC Napoli14c751.4$105 inLost-$105.28334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a7…ffedbacked SSC Napoli63c619.01$391 inLost-$391.171729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked SSC Napoli15c600$90 inLost-$902222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed SSC Napoli14c409.88$59 inLost-$58.8749137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked SSC Napoli7c361.63$25 inLost-$25.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked SSC Napoli16c148.38$24 inLost-$23.748644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed SSC Napoli14c126.41$18 inLost-$18.034334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed SSC Napoli16c88.08$14 inLost-$13.922,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked SSC Napoli13c82.08$10 inLost-$10.3491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed SSC Napoli18c71.33$13 inLost-$12.745364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed SSC Napoli16c63$10 inLost-$10.0827226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked AC Milan41c27.1$11 inWon+$16.0723345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.