TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$257,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Under55c98,573$54,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,215.243354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over45c96,700$43,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,185.141566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under50c57,831$28,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,915.376048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over50c49,988$24,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,993.9310450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over52c15,473$8,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,361.1517731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c0…19a3backed Under34c8,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.96875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5008041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over50c6,612$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.9211054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c5,571$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.6412132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.97825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c4,585$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,236.092,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c4,488$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.273,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under47c4,128$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.29457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9205927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over52c2,802$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.744025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over71c2,617$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.8120857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under36c2,016$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.773560%21 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over53c1,919$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.769052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c1,737$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.024,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over68c1,624$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.4140357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under42c1,603$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.0390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8256051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8255750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8255749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under38c1,348$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c1,263$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.0264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc193…5160backed Over80c1,229$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over66c1,088$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0322446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under47c999.96$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9810168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48511566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over50c670.31$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.153775.7%28 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over52c641.36$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.859244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over68c538.23$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.729164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over68c532.38$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7320360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over68c531.03$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.476657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over67c530.22$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1528357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over68c528.45$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over66c494.72$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7935759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over45c466.55$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.789443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under38c430.41$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204850%24 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1948041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Over52c381.01$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over53c369.56$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.694367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under51c339.71$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.253531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under51c325.44$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2450449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under34c319.72$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.981,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over49c315.1$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.971553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over66c294.94$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9723957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over66c293.74$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.878354.2%45 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under51c285.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.591747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Under49c245.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.216349.2%31 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over52c244.74$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.483545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e6…74a9backed Under52c233.46$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.41850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Over63c230.06$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.122263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Under51c209.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.777354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under34c204.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.922939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over49c197.82$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.896861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed Under51c196.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.31742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+91.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9920945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over53c183.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2217458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.79629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c161.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.091,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over52c159.01$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.466457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c148.89$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.891,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c148.69$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.771,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over67c146.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3133161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Under49c139.87$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.542552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over52c131.21$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9819344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb980…c8e2backed Over52c130.74$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under52c128.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8212042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2575451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over51c121.52$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.549557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7736…2b3abacked Under40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Under48c120.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.211741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over46c113.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3412066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under18c109.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2510060%60 W · 40 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over79c104.84$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.026468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477037.1%26 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd0a…898cbacked Under49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over45c96.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1962744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8249228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3605…e7cbbacked Under49c92.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x41c5…0b24backed Over61c80.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Over52c74.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.18757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Under33c73.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.992944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over52c72.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9620441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a95…5d96backed Over50c72.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over67c70.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8319953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844c…f5f0backed Over51c63.47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.241,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.