La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39327cd355728ae670b34ec6e7b698e90b8e3e4e35a1ae8b2268493d59f4fe36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sevilla FCof Club Atlético de Madrid, Sevilla FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 7,028$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.09 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 1,915$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 1,358$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 8c | 1,349$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 1,094$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 993.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 12c | 957.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 729.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 14c | 653.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 11c | 618.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 12c | 382.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 12c | 351.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 333.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 12c | 264.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 12c | 226.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 7c | 194.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc84…2468backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 182.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…2d87backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 14c | 169.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 12c | 165.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…4ebdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 14c | 135.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 13c | 116.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Sevilla FC | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Sevilla FC | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.