La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11540640c3a0be161f4faffd34426fa4c1f948bd85d7fbae30c81f5dd2983c5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc19e…c764backed Over | 77c | 4,095$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 3,171$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.5 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 2,254$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.04 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Over | 77c | 1,935$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 23c | 1,888$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.35 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over | 77c | 1,281$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Under | 12c | 962.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 8c | 874.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 513.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 77c | 440.59$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 10c | 426.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 77c | 394.75$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 24c | 278.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 77c | 185.58$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 25c | 153.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…0d24backed Over | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 77c | 122.29$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 98.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…6081backed Over | 77c | 93.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 25c | 81.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Over | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a98…1071backed Over | 77c | 40.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9b…490bbacked Over | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Over | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…2b7fbacked Over | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Over | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…6e99backed Over | 77c | 22.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 72c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 75c | 16.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fe…ce83backed Over | 76c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.