TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a98…1071

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$16.08
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.06
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.16
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.08
Fulham FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.23
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.68
Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+39.6%+$15.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.71
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+55.4%+$10.25
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+71.9%+$13.38
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.31
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$15.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.61
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.64
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$23.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.84
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.81
Algeria vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.95
Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+36.8%+$9.19
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38.61
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+28.2%+$18.33
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.39
Will AZ win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18
FC Porto vs. Malmö FF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10.67
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.