Other European Leagues · resolved market
AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd427ed5b87e3117ac9e7086e3b9be86ba988617ecccb0e8b030c2c15c5c94868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 11,111$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 55c | 5,870$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.5 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 4,270$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 73c | 2,043$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 53c | 1,999$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.53 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 1,947$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 18c | 771.81$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 689.84$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.26 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 70c | 652.19$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 440.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 26c | 418.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Over | 62c | 403.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 18c | 385.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 52c | 369.87$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…acfabacked Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 69c | 252.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Under | 39c | 241.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 63c | 239.88$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Under | 46c | 198.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 62c | 161.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 68c | 135.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 34c | 118$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Under | 18c | 113.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 75c | 104.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 51c | 99.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 52c | 95.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 53c | 95.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 94.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 57c | 88.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 58c | 86.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 75c | 86.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 16c | 81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…9994backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 19c | 64.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…c08ebacked Over | 75c | 53.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 61c | 44.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 38c | 40.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 69c | 38.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 72cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…07e3backed Over | 56c | 23.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 66c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a98…1071backed Over | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73c…dd15backed Over | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5this page
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Under won
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Under won
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.