Other European Leagues · resolved market
AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e32b3b0985fd1a46d8644074491b76374a9fb52d6cb161085c8c6a3000be4c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 13,496$7,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,143.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 43c | 10,034$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,722.08 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 59c | 9,360$5,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,522.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 32c | 5,999$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.92 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 43c | 5,071$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.29 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 57c | 5,040$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.59 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 4,639$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 41c | 2,190$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.09 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 57c | 1,442$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.08 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 60c | 1,347$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 59c | 1,110$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.94 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 61c | 837.94$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 809.3$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.65 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 59c | 766.23$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.71 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Over | 60c | 750$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.49 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 47c | 688.07$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 35c | 660$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.2 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 58c | 396.71$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…fbb7backed Over | 59c | 364$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 55c | 361.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 252.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 40c | 246.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 42c | 234.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 45c | 188.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…878cbacked Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 40c | 145.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 46c | 126.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 59c | 125$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 52c | 121.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Over | 58c | 120.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Over | 63c | 115.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 66c | 112.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 109.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 41c | 108.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Under | 41c | 90.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 31c | 88.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 85.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 33c | 83.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 60c | 83.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Over | 58c | 74.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 45c | 73.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 36c | 68.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 41c | 65.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Under | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 57c | 64.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 24c | 63.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 24c | 61.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Over | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…cc55backed Under | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 57c | 53.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…2fa7backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 59c | 50.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…2866backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 57c | 42.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed Under | 42c | 41.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Under | 42c | 41.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Under | 48c | 39.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 54c | 38.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Under | 42c | 38.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 59c | 34.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 45c | 32.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a9…cf67backed Over | 60c | 32.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Over | 53c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…dd29backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5this page
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Over won
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Under won
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.