Other European Leagues · resolved market
AZ vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd09d4ad29f288041d37b0313922edc80ec15fbe013fceaf2bfc2deb0f6a19e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 637.62$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 37c | 569.44$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.69 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 63c | 310$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 221.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 39c | 187.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 63c | 159.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 59c | 140.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 100.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 32.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…0b09backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Over won
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5Under won
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Under won
- AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.