Other European Leagues · resolved market
Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6909f75695c31a2caa251a9e0660de2d9d0e97ec719fc88404bf55e7e0bdd3f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 35,402$16,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,384.9 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 0c | 10,988$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 44c | 7,163$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 56c | 6,220$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.17 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 5,285$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 50c | 3,956$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.91 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 3,721$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.77 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Over | 56c | 2,608$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 55c | 2,117$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.65 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 66c | 2,000$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 48c | 1,806$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.78 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 51c | 1,322$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.76 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 45c | 982.46$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 944.16$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 58c | 899.95$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.97 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 859.2$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.22 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Under | 10c | 856.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 846.1$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.15 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 64c | 801.53$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.87 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 57c | 799.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 14c | 714.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 705.89$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.47 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 57c | 675.83$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 34c | 564.66$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.67 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Under | 66c | 515.51$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…477ebacked Over | 62c | 506.18$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 79c | 502.36$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 13c | 450$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 62c | 449.41$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.29 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 62c | 446.96$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 55c | 438.46$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.31 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 62c | 437.96$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 44c | 406.33$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.78 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 60c | 390.79$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Over | 57c | 382.84$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 61c | 381.81$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 55c | 363.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 79c | 333.72$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 14c | 328.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 55c | 318.44$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 56c | 289.43$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 289.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 52c | 274.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 58c | 272.07$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.27 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 66c | 271.33$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 66c | 271.33$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 65c | 266.34$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Under | 20c | 252$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +224.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 249.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 66c | 247.87$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 59c | 246.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 57c | 246.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 228.21$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 200.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 48c | 199.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 19c | 197.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 50c | 190.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 50c | 174.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…5ff6backed Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Over | 57c | 163$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…5d27backed Over | 56c | 154.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 57c | 149.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 58c | 140.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 49c | 140.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 13c | 124.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 14c | 124.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 118.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 64c | 115.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 49c | 113.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…ea3fbacked Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac3…0058backed Under | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Over | 55c | 95.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 44c | 93.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 42c | 91.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 53c | 91.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5this page
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Casa Pia AC (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Casa Pia AC (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Casa Pia AC won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Casa Pia AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.