Other European Leagues · resolved market
Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71dd752f67cb0ece4d5d4de2cc871079c23ede182400cf089dca668b188fd887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 5,988$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes | 18c | 5,464$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480.5 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 2,860$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.39 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 23c | 2,685$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 21c | 1,284$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Yes | 21c | 458.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.98 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 20c | 404.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.87 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 77c | 267.35$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed No | 20c | 252$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +224.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 79c | 235.4$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.97 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…49a7backed Yes | 21c | 181.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed No | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed No | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 10c | 158.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked No | 64c | 153.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 24c | 139.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 25c | 116.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 42c | 94.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 54c | 87.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 76.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Yes | 18c | 69.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 44c | 46.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 46c | 46.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed No | 55c | 35.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…a6fabacked No | 80c | 32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 79c | 28.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 79c | 24.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 79c | 18.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Casa Pia AC (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Casa Pia AC (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Casa Pia AC won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Casa Pia AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.