TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb9b…49a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$105.47
Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.47
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$23.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$25.94
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$47.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.2
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.03
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$19.26
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$14.54
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+50.7%+$30.44
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$18.25
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.37
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Cagliari Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.9
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.88
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.25
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$32.31
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$25.44
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43
AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+70.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.