TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c6,825$2,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,762.34,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.843138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under1c4,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick5cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under52c3,884$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.816331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over48c2,186$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.743855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c2,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over55c1,494$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.315141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c1,382$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.723,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over47c1,049$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.419845.9%45 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over47c1,033$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.952250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Under51c1,032$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.071118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-62.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c1,027$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53412554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6076…b218backed Under51c947.15$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.05333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over45c899.64$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.829646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under51c888.94$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.365158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c819.73$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.081,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c817.59$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.3236850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over49c815.78$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Under52c742.15$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.381735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over46c602.55$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3621953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under53c593.96$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under24c566.43$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.872,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over45c555$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2519026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c549.65$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.223,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over45c522.63$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.5724653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under2c514.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.633,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over40c478.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.394528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under56c436.08$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5350850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over46c420.8$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.5623749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under56c420.75$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8286455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over59c413.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.468734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under18c404.54$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.712334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.912254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c350$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.253,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under57c297.63$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6510550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.512254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under42c288.41$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1313548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c270.01$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.861,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c269.88$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.132,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over44c248.87$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3712141.3%50 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over48c246.51$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1917544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over45c244.02$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.194751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed1d…6fd3backed Over50c234.74$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under55c231.75$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over45c229.04$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0417158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over44c223.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3725554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over45c212.42$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.831070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+64.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1818822.3%42 W · 146 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe689…b81abacked Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb75…ba17backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over49c197.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.981323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9712140.5%49 W · 72 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over46c185.48$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1620156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Over46c185.48$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.167266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Over46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over44c172.64$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.683847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over43c169.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9615448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e12…ce01backed Over61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under45c145.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2734056.5%192 W · 148 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Over61c143.59$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over45c137.93$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2714948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over36c133.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.484438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Over46c133.49$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.083158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1548…294ebacked Over40c131.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.63560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+105.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Over46c130.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.547954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59c8…d2c8backed Over60c118.64$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.351758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over41c117.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.47830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over42c115.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.135952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over43c114.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.34751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf2…9959backed Over45c109.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under33c105.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.762,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under37c104.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6623751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c104.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over59c104$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1223345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over47c102.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7631147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over33c101$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.677532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…b990backed Over48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.481060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015655.8%87 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e5…3c0abacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over38c99.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6215945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under45c89.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4737458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over47c84.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2740355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.982972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under53c79.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0543653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over43c68.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1842853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Over47c62.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.93580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+151.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.495666.1%37 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.45937.3%22 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over46c58.67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6810958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.182340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Over44c57.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.272245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under58c57.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4937144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Over44c55.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.359351.6%48 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.