Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685976d26199bec431030d38b12230ac01fc86f7417125382bf5bacf1eb7bfb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 6,825$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.3 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.84 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 1c | 4,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 52c | 3,884$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.81 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 48c | 2,186$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.74 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 1,494$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.3 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 1,382$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.72 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 47c | 1,049$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.41 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 47c | 1,033$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Under | 51c | 1,032$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 1,027$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…b218backed Under | 51c | 947.15$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 45c | 899.64$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.8 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 51c | 888.94$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.36 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 819.73$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.08 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 817.59$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.32 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 49c | 815.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Under | 52c | 742.15$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 46c | 602.55$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.36 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 53c | 593.96$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 24c | 566.43$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 549.65$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.22 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 45c | 522.63$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.57 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 2c | 514.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 40c | 478.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.39 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 436.08$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 46c | 420.8$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.56 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 420.75$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.82 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 59c | 413.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 18c | 404.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 350$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.25 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 57c | 297.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 42c | 288.41$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 270.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.86 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 269.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.13 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 44c | 248.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.37 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 48c | 246.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 45c | 244.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed Over | 50c | 234.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 55c | 231.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 45c | 229.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.04 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 44c | 223.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 45c | 212.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…b81abacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 49c | 197.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 46c | 185.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Over | 46c | 185.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Over | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 44c | 172.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 43c | 169.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…ce01backed Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 45c | 145.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Over | 61c | 143.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 45c | 137.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Over | 46c | 133.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…294ebacked Over | 40c | 131.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Over | 46c | 130.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed Over | 60c | 118.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 42c | 115.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 43c | 114.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…9959backed Over | 45c | 109.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 33c | 105.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 37c | 104.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 104.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 59c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 47c | 102.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 33c | 101$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…b990backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…3c0abacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 45c | 89.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 47c | 84.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over | 43c | 68.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Over | 47c | 62.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +151.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 46c | 58.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 44c | 57.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 58c | 57.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 44c | 55.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5this page
- Sweden vs. Poland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.