Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fd60da969a40d80ce1cd7d2881dd460d9c616f8b02ff7c824bbdb0426e8ee90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 7,245$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.35 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 74c | 4,022$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.79 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe0…5d27backed Over | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 29c | 2,399$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.84 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 2c | 1,818$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…8107backed Over | 70c | 1,797$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 61c | 1,773$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.14 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 1,540$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.47 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 29c | 1,223$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.34 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 72c | 682.57$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.12 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 569.11$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 3c | 502.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 28c | 500.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 73c | 404.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 390.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Over | 72c | 267.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 28c | 252.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 15c | 251.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Over | 74c | 196.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Over | 73c | 196.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 27c | 182.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 180.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa989…3fefbacked Under | 29c | 162.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Under | 17c | 140.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Over | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 73c | 120.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 32c | 115.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 72c | 113.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 75c | 100.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 73c | 92.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 27c | 84.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 25c | 79.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 75c | 73.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 75c | 68.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 29c | 63.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 70c | 61.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 26c | 59.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…600cbacked Over | 72c | 59.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 71c | 43.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 39c | 42.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…df6cbacked Over | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 72c | 40.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…26a5backed Over | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…e944backed Over | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Under | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…a2a4backed Over | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 34.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 72c | 30.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…e7afbacked Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3902…43f8backed Over | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…218abacked Over | 74c | 23.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 70c | 19.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 236 | 65.3%154 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 68c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 75c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 73c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 1.5this page
- Sweden vs. Poland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.